Australian A League · resolved market
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ad4a09555a6f0bf0abd17105d8dae363647800ac0bc635434c3a70db8133760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,819 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes | 48c | 12,596$6,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,045.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed No | 52c | 11,550$6,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,544 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Yes | 24c | 5,456$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.65 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 3,028$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.14 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 45c | 2,344$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 2,211$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.05 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.57 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 74c | 1,290$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.24 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 26c | 1,174$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Yes | 46c | 1,092$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 1,068$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.99 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,033$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…695abacked Yes | 52c | 725.17$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 27c | 721.33$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed No | 54c | 709.31$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.31 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 569.82$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.42 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 52c | 513.05$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.88 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 28c | 457.93$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.04 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 31c | 437.02$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.04 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 51c | 404$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +65%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 56c | 342.42$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.62 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 50c | 320.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked No | 75c | 319.71$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 55c | 252.63$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked No | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed No | 77c | 249$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 25c | 233.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 20c | 229.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 52c | 229.12$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.04 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 13c | 219$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 52c | 216$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 150.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 31c | 136.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 10c | 132.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 33c | 129.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Yes | 79c | 126.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 49c | 122.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked No | 56c | 117.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 32c | 101.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 44c | 96.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 30c | 91.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 78c | 87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 21c | 84.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…1f08backed Yes | 21c | 83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +151.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 68.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 73c | 67.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 63.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0913…a834backed Yes | 17c | 62.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed No | 51c | 60.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 52c | 57.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 48c | 55.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 73c | 51.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Yes | 45c | 47.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked No | 78c | 45.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 50c | 42.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 26c | 40.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 44c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37f…95d4backed No | 57c | 37.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked No | 69c | 32.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 33c | 30.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 74c | 27.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 54c | 25.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…d9c5backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 42c | 25.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…9b55backed Yes | 69c | 16.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
- Will Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.