TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-03-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,564 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No54c11,178$6,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,085.0198844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No49c6,102$2,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,968.761533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes51c3,992$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.043080%24 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes34c2,963$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.61922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes4c2,950$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,831.581656.3%9 W · 7 L+6.7wins+0.42per pick14cpaid+367.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c1,823$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.8746644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes27c1,798$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.662245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes72c1,657$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.721118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-75%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes50c1,632$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.24742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3541…78debacked No49c1,619$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.05977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No56c1,509$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.7523551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No61c1,398$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.4428659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes33c1,385$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.722835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes59c1,346$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.41650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Yes52c1,273$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.331643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed No48c1,218$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.611855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes50c1,167$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0133…64bcbacked Yes57c1,154$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c1,090$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.7847850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f95…6972backed Yes52c1,037$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.033938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Yes61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No59c870.94$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.4914047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes55c744.03$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes12c706.22$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.6830536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-74.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No51c647.42$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.389257.6%53 W · 39 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No66c636$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.765558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b4…7730backed Yes16c549.87$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+212.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes48c502$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.842544%11 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes49c501.94$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.56728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked No53c479.89$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.642080%16 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+49.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Yes22c459.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+129.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked Yes57c443.89$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No68c400.11$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.8811057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No50c391.36$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8314951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Yes53c385.95$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.77955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes32c384$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.3712156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No65c375$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.7511940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No79c352.13$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4230954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes29c342.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes26c332.61$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.75944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+48.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc86e…8dfcbacked Yes27c330.89$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.55757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f8…a1afbacked Yes71c312.72$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed No47c311.41$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3614060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes32c297.06$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.065048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed No16c279.06$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.657254.2%39 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c268.09$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.5511752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.164845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c251.58$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5143748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No65c250$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.513243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c09…dfb9backed Yes50c238$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes29c226.31$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6914755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes61c200.59$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.23837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes25c197.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.47450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+154.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes32c192$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4110757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Yes57c175.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.771050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.415250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Yes34c172$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.12683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+62.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Yes60c166.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Yes10c153.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.09955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+99.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Yes31c145.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+58.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca1…3d96backed Yes38c140.26$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+44.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes34c136$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.764843.8%21 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdeff…f3b9backed Yes34c128.35$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.03728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes29c127.59$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.594233.3%14 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+48.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked No15c126.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Yes57c125.18$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No66c113.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.86453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes24c109$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed No16c107.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.228353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Yes29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.451450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec3…22b6backed Yes23c103$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.664645.7%21 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No53c100.36$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1124732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No67c96.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5332453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed No16c91.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.668853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc155…d550backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2807…27d5backed Yes29c86.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No66c85.12$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.630055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x956f…b868backed Yes24c76.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+317.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No71c75.86$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.863050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked No56c71.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.99366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce1…b2a8backed Yes53c69.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19fd…4533backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+143.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4929…b9f9backed Yes29c68.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.061172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+48.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x379e…06c7backed Yes57c66.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No67c62.71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.021070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaf5…c50fbacked Yes64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x779a…1f08backed Yes20c61.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+151.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6301…423dbacked Yes55c60.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Yes33c59.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.191118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9624…0b05backed Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.821457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Yes56c58.47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Yes29c57.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.71330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.