TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs AaB Esport (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ARCREDof ARCRED, AaB Esport
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,459 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51db…f9b3backed ARCRED47c3,537$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,861.566,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd1…b201backed AaB Esport55c3,114$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.211850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed ARCRED69c1,742$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.1784958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed AaB Esport31c1,081$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.925,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed AaB Esport45c1,029$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.4678043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed AaB Esport30c1,024$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.111,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed ARCRED71c942.19$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.1157358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked AaB Esport68c757.66$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.962,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked ARCRED52c716.83$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.533,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed ARCRED26c641.84$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.4721528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed AaB Esport36c513.88$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6656732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked ARCRED44c476.25$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.2666446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf535…e984backed ARCRED70c464.35$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.33775.7%28 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked ARCRED65c450.33$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.355347.2%25 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked ARCRED48c425.76$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.191,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed ARCRED35c401.26$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.6237445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked AaB Esport30c336.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.143,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed ARCRED56c325.71$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.211,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ARCRED50c325.7$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.774,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed ARCRED70c308.63$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5964854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed ARCRED70c294.6$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3811651.7%60 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked AaB Esport55c237.54$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7426037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed AaB Esport59c230.55$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7391743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed AaB Esport28c222.81$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.61838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked AaB Esport63c212.19$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2163038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked ARCRED68c202.36$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.884454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc2…0751backed AaB Esport8c202.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.872050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ARCRED49c186.24$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.757,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed AaB Esport41c179.78$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.431,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked ARCRED40c178.67$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6936151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ARCRED39c173.96$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.395,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked AaB Esport11c172.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.93540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed ARCRED59c161.42$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6650043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked AaB Esport56c156.35$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0147260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked AaB Esport61c154.49$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.192,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed AaB Esport48c142.96$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.941,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed ARCRED49c137.73$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.391,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed ARCRED53c129.23$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5112368.3%84 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed AaB Esport54c125.47$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.332,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked AaB Esport42c121.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.21,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed AaB Esport39c121.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.651755.9%289 W · 228 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed AaB Esport20c116.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9536446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdffe…b4d3backed AaB Esport31c108.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9514630.8%45 W · 101 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked AaB Esport32c105.51$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.761,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked ARCRED38c104.62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7338942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed AaB Esport30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed AaB Esport68c98.08$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.693056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed AaB Esport52c97.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.582,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d8…9ccdbacked AaB Esport57c95.47$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.424557.8%26 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed ARCRED28c93.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.742,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked ARCRED50c87.22$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7440652.2%212 W · 194 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ARCRED45c86.3$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.375,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e99…0a26backed ARCRED39c84$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.247643.4%33 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed AaB Esport59c82.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.774546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked AaB Esport60c80.7$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.231,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked AaB Esport49c79.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.962,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed AaB Esport31c71.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.376248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed AaB Esport42c71.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8879951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed AaB Esport42c71.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8873948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaad9…caefbacked AaB Esport42c71.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.871540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc75…5431backed AaB Esport42c71.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.872740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b11…58c9backed AaB Esport42c71.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.872540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c6d…8cc4backed AaB Esport60c67.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.286654.5%36 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19c4…8f2ebacked AaB Esport74c66.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed ARCRED30c55.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.628434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x573e…79c5backed AaB Esport68c55.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ARCRED48c52.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.314,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed ARCRED62c52.01$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.761957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73b1…a5d6backed ARCRED31c46.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc368…e5d6backed AaB Esport45c43.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.712846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked ARCRED50c42.09$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9323038.3%88 W · 142 L-15.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked AaB Esport32c40.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9517930.2%54 W · 125 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed ARCRED49c39.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.437040%28 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed ARCRED69c39.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3647856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aba…9ddfbacked AaB Esport79c37.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.96850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb172…ffa1backed ARCRED34c31.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.953435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed ARCRED62c31.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.916858.8%40 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked ARCRED60c31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.492,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ba…269ebacked AaB Esport71c24.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.712882.1%23 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick73cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e4e…f494backed AaB Esport61c23.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.19757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9754…fb93backed AaB Esport56c22.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7212045%54 W · 66 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed AaB Esport59c22.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1323072.6%167 W · 63 L+27.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe297…e484backed AaB Esport65c21.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1532258.7%189 W · 133 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked AaB Esport71c19.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.951,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e96…f2debacked ARCRED60c18.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.339753.6%52 W · 45 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x034c…5f17backed ARCRED67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bf…fa0dbacked AaB Esport78c13.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.861258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.