TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ESC Gamingof ESC Gaming, Lavked
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,453 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lavked47c7,393$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,443.512,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked ESC Gaming50c4,700$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.8575056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked53c4,067$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.527,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ESC Gaming43c2,323$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.963,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa17c…b2e6backed ESC Gaming52c2,079$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.277566.7%50 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Lavked1c2,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Lavked2c1,600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0d8…8eafbacked ESC Gaming64c1,531$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.714768.1%32 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed ESC Gaming52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72043455.1%239 W · 195 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Lavked50c1,423$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.377940.5%32 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ESC Gaming47c1,419$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.015,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed ESC Gaming51c1,400$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6889554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked ESC Gaming50c1,212$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.6536253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked50c1,151$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.86,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Lavked1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lavked56c618.04$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.173,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Lavked2c558.68$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.092150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed Lavked48c540.59$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.4824840.7%101 W · 147 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Lavked33c505.37$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2210426%27 W · 77 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Lavked6c462.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1764439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Lavked48c448.5$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.362350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Lavked68c443.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3929154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed ESC Gaming48c400.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.0728434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lavked51c392.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.931,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed ESC Gaming52c376.8$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.8632344.3%143 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Lavked48c375$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed ESC Gaming44c373.45$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.47034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb59…fb90backed ESC Gaming50c363.65$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.465048%24 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff48…4836backed Lavked51c361.06$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.721127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Lavked47c347.89$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3322253.2%118 W · 104 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd487…053ebacked Lavked52c340.55$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.114456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lavked54c329.56$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.382,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa5…e615backed ESC Gaming55c310.45$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.73568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ESC Gaming51c302$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.371,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed ESC Gaming49c298.1$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.718454.3%100 W · 84 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed ESC Gaming55c296.96$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.212,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Lavked14c231.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2445224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Lavked60c228.04$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3883543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed Lavked37c207$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5924641.9%103 W · 143 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked ESC Gaming51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9895642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Lavked49c196.87$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9636151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Lavked48c193.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Lavked51c189.93$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0971951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed ESC Gaming42c189.23$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7576546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x270f…eb5ebacked ESC Gaming53c188.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.88058.8%47 W · 33 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Lavked52c187.97$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.112746.5%59 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d28…6d7abacked Lavked56c183.01$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.061827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Lavked45c176.01$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7148948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Lavked49c173.61$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8691743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Lavked46c165.46$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1139239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ESC Gaming46c151.49$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.173,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Lavked55c145.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.011,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Lavked58c139.93$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.740652.2%212 W · 194 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa71…8aa0backed Lavked55c139.14$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.531225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed ESC Gaming72c136.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.244546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Lavked43c136.17$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.161,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Lavked68c131.83$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9930254.3%164 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed ESC Gaming53c129.21$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.346843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Lavked40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.216451.2%84 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed ESC Gaming49c113.1$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.686031.7%19 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Lavked55c112.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6238858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Lavked48c108.69$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.171,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked Lavked49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4727754.9%152 W · 125 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed ESC Gaming62c97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.521,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe713…c9a0backed Lavked68c96.11$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.21050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked ESC Gaming45c95.6$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.971,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ESC Gaming56c94.08$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.755,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed ESC Gaming47c83.02$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.162,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xeaff…5f75backed ESC Gaming45c81.92$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.45223.1%12 W · 40 L-9.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-52.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed ESC Gaming33c81.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9973658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed ESC Gaming49c80.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0228660.1%172 W · 114 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Lavked53c80.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9495849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Lavked36c74.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.562,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Lavked43c70.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7727443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Lavked54c69.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3710554.3%57 W · 48 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Lavked44c69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0831328.4%89 W · 224 L-21.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadf8…1e82backed ESC Gaming74c68.89$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.186854.4%37 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed ESC Gaming50c67.91$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9632951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ESC Gaming52c67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.054,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Lavked45c66.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9210736.4%39 W · 68 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked30c63.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.972,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked ESC Gaming54c63.16$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8521536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c83…8c5fbacked ESC Gaming36c61.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.382227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa033…4938backed Lavked59c60.61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.938545.9%39 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked Lavked60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.911148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed ESC Gaming52c59.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4479951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Lavked51c57.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3815352.3%80 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked Lavked68c56.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.61,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed ESC Gaming51c54.15$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3973948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Lavked32c53.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3839946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Lavked48c50.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.132,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e2c…359fbacked Lavked49c50.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.611057.3%63 W · 47 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked ESC Gaming52c49.95$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2215160.9%92 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4e0…cf2dbacked ESC Gaming51c49.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.294852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed ESC Gaming54c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7844654.9%245 W · 201 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed ESC Gaming50c46.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2464854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ddb…513dbacked Lavked35c45.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.011435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed ESC Gaming39c42.32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.842,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf11a…1002backed ESC Gaming59c40.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.827848.6%135 W · 143 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Lavked62c40.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3751755.9%289 W · 228 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.