CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60e83c9cd7748e14d96bfef14b2e7c1bf668d7792f3d253b394965f99e1584fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 50c | 10,000$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998.98 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…7c51backed Under | 50c | 5,200$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 53c | 4,764$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.2 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 2,572$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.46 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…a7a8backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 50c | 2,394$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.21 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 2,304$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.92 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Over | 49c | 1,653$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Over | 50c | 1,315$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Under | 51c | 1,025$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.27 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Over | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 55c | 924.94$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.59 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Over | 49c | 626.53$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 52c | 542.49$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.4 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 35c | 527.86$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.69 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed66…4d20backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 71c | 498.29$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 45c | 434.67$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.6 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Over | 49c | 420.32$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed Over | 53c | 373.77$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.08 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 49c | 357.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…70d9backed Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…3cc3backed Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Over | 48c | 303.92$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.87 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 301.25$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.79 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 47c | 294.36$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.03 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x690d…70adbacked Over | 50c | 284.16$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Under | 50c | 268.11$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.06 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Over | 48c | 209.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…eb23backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 45c | 174$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 25c | 138$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 52c | 135.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 49c | 131.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 56c | 109.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…e5d6backed Over | 47c | 104.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…1faabacked Over | 49c | 102.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Under | 51c | 92.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 27c | 92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…d036backed Under | 53c | 87.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7136…2410backed Under | 52c | 70.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 50c | 65.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 45c | 53.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Over | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Under | 60c | 48.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320b…6057backed Over | 50c | 48.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…7effbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Under | 53c | 42.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…fb82backed Over | 49c | 40.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ebd3backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 55c | 31.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…df0ebacked Over | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…2489backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 212 | 52.8%112 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eda…fb8ebacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 26.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…8c3ebacked Under | 53c | 22.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Under | 54c | 21.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships PlayoffsLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.