CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26f1ac0b46ab9dc884b3c87a68e3e4db16804919f97fa3a80da091d3a36cc9d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Under | 55c | 420.63$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.28 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 45c | 323.62$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.63 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 54c | 315.22$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Over | 46c | 315.22$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 76c | 258.97$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 54c | 256.43$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.96 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…8b45backed Over | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Under | 54c | 225.13$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…01d2backed Under | 55c | 134.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 23c | 81.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Under | 55c | 81.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 46c | 80.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Over | 46c | 73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 23c | 71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed Over | 45c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Under | 51c | 48.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 30c | 42.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Under | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 68c | 20.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 76c | 15.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.