CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ac83f0b06e3eb4652c0867435bca261a08b265636e4a53628554960785d3e28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Liquid, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Astralis | 73c | 18,128$13,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,951.71 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Liquid | 31c | 13,356$4,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,171.28 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Astralis | 66c | 10,719$7,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.98 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Liquid | 39c | 6,541$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.96 | 413 | 40.2%166 W · 247 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked Liquid | 47c | 6,000$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.71 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Liquid | 36c | 2,975$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.25 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…bde0backed Astralis | 71c | 2,000$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.76 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…7ebfbacked Liquid | 26c | 1,932$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis | 67c | 1,930$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.61 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Liquid | 45c | 1,627$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.95 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Liquid | 32c | 1,200$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Astralis | 75c | 1,157$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.56 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Liquid | 26c | 1,117$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.54 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 53c | 1,092$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.85 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Astralis | 59c | 1,009$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.85 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Astralis | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Liquid | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Astralis | 73c | 988.16$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.92 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 68c | 907.34$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.35 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Liquid | 26c | 828.88$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.85 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 53c | 767.72$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.83 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Astralis | 68c | 750$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…ca23backed Liquid | 21c | 709.52$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Liquid | 7c | 594.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Astralis | 59c | 550.9$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.88 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Liquid | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Liquid | 28c | 496.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.91 | 198 | 57.6%114 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Liquid | 21c | 389.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Liquid | 13c | 387.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Liquid | 16c | 367.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db0…6424backed Liquid | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Liquid | 35c | 340$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Liquid | 42c | 320.61$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 356 | 43%153 W · 203 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Liquid | 35c | 300$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.34 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Liquid | 34c | 300$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Astralis | 80c | 275$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Astralis | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Liquid | 28c | 236$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Liquid | 21c | 228.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Astralis | 52c | 218$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Liquid | 23c | 204.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Liquid | 17c | 200.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Liquid | 25c | 198$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…8e0abacked Astralis | 80c | 197.57$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Astralis | 67c | 194.7$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 303 | 54.5%165 W · 138 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1485…f4b2backed Liquid | 37c | 191.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 70c | 176.2$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Liquid | 31c | 167.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked Liquid | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Astralis | 69c | 155$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Astralis | 59c | 139.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis | 69c | 137.36$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Liquid | 22c | 133.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Liquid | 27c | 129$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 70c | 125$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Astralis | 72c | 119.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 264 | 75%198 W · 66 L | +24.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Astralis | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Liquid | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 461 | 42.7%197 W · 264 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…70debacked Liquid | 45c | 104.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Astralis | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 247 | 56.7%140 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Liquid | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Liquid | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Astralis | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Astralis | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Liquid | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Astralis | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Astralis | 55c | 95.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Liquid | 41c | 91.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Liquid | 25c | 90.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Liquid | 41c | 88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…1865backed Astralis | 59c | 84.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Liquid | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 629 | 38.3%241 W · 388 L | -17.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Liquid | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Liquid | 41c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed Astralis | 68c | 70.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 313 | 72.8%228 W · 85 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Liquid | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…6b45backed Astralis | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Liquid | 33c | 66.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Liquid | 41c | 61.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Liquid | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…3cd3backed Astralis | 59c | 53.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…30b9backed Astralis | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…1a23backed Astralis | 59c | 48.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Astralis | 58c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Astralis | 66c | 44.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Astralis | 76c | 41.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Liquid | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49bc…540cbacked Liquid | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Liquid | 26c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Astralis | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Astralis | 60c | 33.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Liquid | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 403 | 40.4%163 W · 240 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked Astralis | 71c | 27.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Astralis | 58c | 26.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 382 | 59.7%228 W · 154 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Liquid | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Astralis | 62c | 24.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Astralis | 77c | 19.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.