Champions League · resolved market
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe27d76524340f15afb40e04fc1c25328877a3bb1816bb8e048c1ef39e319f226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 71c | 5,026$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.5 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 72c | 2,842$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.9 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbf…8c7bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,714$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9948…47e7backed Yes | 29c | 1,454$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.65 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…ce94backed Yes | 29c | 994.69$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 72c | 699.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 71c | 554.99$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.95 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Yes | 29c | 330.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fb…09d0backed Yes | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 70c | 299.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 72c | 299.95$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 74c | 276.91$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked Yes | 28c | 222.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 30c | 207.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 28c | 195.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c1…81a1backed Yes | 28c | 167.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Yes | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed Yes | 29c | 138.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 72c | 137.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed No | 73c | 134.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 28c | 124.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -6.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 25c | 103$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 28c | 101.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes | 30c | 80.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…e68bbacked Yes | 31c | 75.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 26c | 74.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…87a6backed No | 71c | 69.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Yes | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Yes | 30c | 64.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 71c | 63.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…6b16backed Yes | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Yes | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…77f0backed Yes | 29c | 49.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…2297backed Yes | 29c | 49.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 29c | 48.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c46…fe5ebacked Yes | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 65c | 44.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…6652backed Yes | 37c | 43.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8524…a02bbacked Yes | 29c | 39.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Yes | 31c | 33.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked No | 73c | 28.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 27.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 69c | 27.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 26.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 61c | 22.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Federico Valverde: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Harry Kane: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Jude Bellingham: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Kylian Mbappe: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Luis Diaz: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Michael Olise: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Nicolas Jackson: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.