Champions League · resolved market
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5771528e674d804bf1d9bb21df22ee7be75ad5db0ccf3b2caba20b0aa4972666
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 43c | 2,005$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.73 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6375…476abacked Yes | 58c | 1,089$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 41c | 923.86$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.78 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 57c | 655.45$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Yes | 59c | 492.18$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5026…dde1backed No | 45c | 432.59$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…1eb0backed No | 42c | 430.72$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +363.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…044ebacked Yes | 59c | 330.63$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 55c | 312.9$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.81 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 55c | 299.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 58c | 250.17$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.9 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 42c | 238.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…03a9backed Yes | 58c | 209.78$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.93 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed No | 57c | 199.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…359bbacked No | 45c | 196.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 41c | 188.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 40c | 180.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed Yes | 56c | 179.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Yes | 56c | 173.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd707…9ecabacked Yes | 57c | 169.21$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 43c | 150.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 59c | 116.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed No | 45c | 98.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0e…abd1backed No | 44c | 96.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 56c | 95.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 42c | 84.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Yes | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…1668backed Yes | 61c | 72.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…6c25backed No | 42c | 65.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked No | 43c | 48.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x517f…ea2abacked Yes | 58c | 47.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…bfddbacked Yes | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4626…d40bbacked Yes | 56c | 42.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Yes | 55c | 40.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…1584backed Yes | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…2278backed Yes | 56c | 38.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c1…81a1backed Yes | 58c | 38.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…93b2backed Yes | 58c | 34.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…be31backed Yes | 58c | 33.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Yes | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…ead7backed Yes | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…3e15backed Yes | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…35abbacked No | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e12…d115backed No | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…1593backed No | 59c | 29.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10f…56f4backed Yes | 58c | 26.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…4729backed Yes | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked Yes | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…b8c3backed Yes | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…2f6bbacked No | 42c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…6cb4backed Yes | 58c | 21.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 56c | 18.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…499cbacked Yes | 63c | 17.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Federico Valverde: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Jude Bellingham: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Kylian Mbappe: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Luis Diaz: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Michael Olise: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Nicolas Jackson: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Vinicius Junior: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.