TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
M80of paiN, M80
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$345,813
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$378,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,813 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked M8047c26,689$12,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,231.655,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed M8045c22,220$9,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,282.1172453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed M8044c22,000$9,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,319.9441649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked M8045c20,798$9,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,479.6116245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed paiN55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.9950054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked paiN53c17,265$9,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,069.58258.5%48 W · 34 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+28.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked M8045c17,172$7,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,480.775652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed paiN55c13,642$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50023839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed paiN55c9,664$5,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,315.1920743%89 W · 118 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed paiN55c8,491$4,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,670.097454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed paiN56c7,681$4,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,304.9923949%117 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed paiN54c7,099$3,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,833.6467041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed M8045c7,001$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,815.666851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked paiN56c7,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9207441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed M8045c6,455$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,550.071936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed M8045c6,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.9871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked paiN56c6,000$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,349.9764852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked paiN54c5,514$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked paiN54c5,500$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.9417853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed paiN55c5,396$2,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,953.7721945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked paiN54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.989248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed M8068c4,924$3,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.231,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked paiN47c4,394$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.692,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed paiN57c4,072$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,315.1417643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed M8045c4,000$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.9911434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed paiN55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed paiN55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked M8045c3,557$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.5428538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b54…76eabacked paiN19c3,340$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.71933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x419d…ac3cbacked paiN38c3,076$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked paiN55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65017540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked M8068c2,860$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.4463157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed paiN28c2,676$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.962,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked paiN54c2,526$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.5421655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed M8046c2,516$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.5278639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed M8047c2,431$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.2160848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked M8046c2,201$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.091,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed M8046c2,194$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.7922750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed paiN45c2,137$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.4411061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed M8052c2,064$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.632,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d1…7ab6backed paiN54c2,027$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1004546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked paiN55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.991668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x835b…6f16backed paiN55c1,962$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.383748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaab1…9b4fbacked paiN69c1,932$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3301442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked paiN29c1,931$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.2766446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed M8045c1,876$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.5312449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed paiN54c1,875$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.3112253.3%65 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed paiN54c1,873$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.5784958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed paiN55c1,863$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.84427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked M8065c1,823$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.181,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed M8046c1,739$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.0660248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed M8063c1,695$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.338868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked M8049c1,653$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.0653545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed M8045c1,582$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.1152951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed paiN42c1,535$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.364,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed M8046c1,530$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.322,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed M8046c1,525$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.3420249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked paiN56c1,520$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.2335940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked paiN30c1,503$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.2740137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed M8044c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed M8045c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.961,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked paiN55c1,455$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80075245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed paiN55c1,437$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.515947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked paiN56c1,414$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79210451.9%54 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed paiN54c1,344$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72619245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed paiN55c1,315$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72322342.2%94 W · 129 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed paiN62c1,303$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.8416155.9%90 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed paiN56c1,300$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72842651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd23f…0b63backed paiN56c1,260$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.432259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked paiN55c1,257$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.4627552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x254b…e8abbacked paiN54c1,239$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.063043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed M8046c1,229$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66414955%82 W · 67 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed M8060c1,177$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.387047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed M8069c1,125$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.91,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked M8045c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1120458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd59…f348backed M8045c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.113132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed M8053c1,087$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.1388746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked M8058c1,084$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.764,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked paiN1c1,076$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7619845.5%90 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked M8045c1,017$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.2211148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed M8046c1,008$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.1415740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed M8046c1,001$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.544542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed M8047c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53031345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked M8043c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57020248.5%98 W · 104 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed paiN55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9929851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed paiN54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9933452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed M8044c999.56$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.7526054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe062…f949backed M8047c996.45$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.124452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked paiN24c995.33$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.731,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3724…c59abacked M8046c989.19$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.79732%31 W · 66 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked paiN72c985.54$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.031,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x941f…bac9backed paiN30c979.99$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2946020%12 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed paiN36c973.31$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aae…0da3backed M8046c950$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.514255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked paiN29c932.6$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.712,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed paiN55c911.78$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked paiN55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027751.6%143 W · 134 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed M8056c895.09$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.5242154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed paiN57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked M8046c869.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.5718933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.