CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x638a31e55be7b91cd88c1a3f9d22a679d42ae772e064dbb3dbda170b039b6737
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Yawara Esports, Fake do Biru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c7f…8a37backed Fake do Biru | 20c | 938.71$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.86 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fake do Biru | 65c | 639.25$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.13 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Fake do Biru | 64c | 602.93$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.88 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x687f…da05backed Yawara Esports | 77c | 593.88$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yawara Esports | 35c | 584.8$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.02 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed Yawara Esports | 36c | 559.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.4 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Fake do Biru | 33c | 399.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yawara Esports | 70c | 391.61$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.92 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Fake do Biru | 35c | 357.58$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.84 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yawara Esports | 67c | 355.13$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Fake do Biru | 35c | 353.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.22 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Yawara Esports | 53c | 310$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Yawara Esports | 48c | 304.69$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.69 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Yawara Esports | 65c | 300$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Fake do Biru | 47c | 298.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.17 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fake do Biru | 33c | 282.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yawara Esports | 66c | 268.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yawara Esports | 62c | 243.49$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.53 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Fake do Biru | 33c | 209.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Fake do Biru | 51c | 193.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96cc…08f7backed Yawara Esports | 68c | 161.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Fake do Biru | 52c | 145.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fake do Biru | 23c | 144.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0153…bad3backed Yawara Esports | 62c | 130.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Yawara Esports | 58c | 129.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yawara Esports | 67c | 121.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yawara Esports | 35c | 115.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Fake do Biru | 34c | 104.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fake do Biru | 26c | 102.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…809cbacked Yawara Esports | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Yawara Esports | 72c | 99.59$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Yawara Esports | 36c | 90.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yawara Esports | 78c | 81.73$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…db25backed Fake do Biru | 45c | 73.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…5258backed Yawara Esports | 59c | 73.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Yawara Esports | 30c | 71.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yawara Esports | 69c | 71.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Fake do Biru | 66c | 70.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Fake do Biru | 70c | 57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Fake do Biru | 34c | 51.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed Fake do Biru | 69c | 50.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yawara Esports | 58c | 47.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Yawara Esports | 31c | 47.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Fake do Biru | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Fake do Biru | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Fake do Biru | 63c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Fake do Biru | 37c | 38.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yawara Esports | 34c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Fake do Biru | 73c | 35.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Fake do Biru | 40c | 33.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Fake do Biru | 35c | 33.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…1972backed Fake do Biru | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Fake do Biru | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yawara Esports | 68c | 21.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…e441backed Yawara Esports | 68c | 20.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 WinnerYawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.