CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x376ab8748a166443489c45bd4e3413df97e60a8c8cd42f63baf7b7d71be88245
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Yawara Esports, Fake do Biru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Fake do Biru | 43c | 1,572$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.8 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Fake do Biru | 39c | 996.83$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yawara Esports | 68c | 528.96$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.69 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yawara Esports | 55c | 463.01$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.88 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yawara Esports | 61c | 271.94$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yawara Esports | 59c | 222$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yawara Esports | 61c | 200.51$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…d07ebacked Yawara Esports | 55c | 180.73$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.33 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Fake do Biru | 52c | 175$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yawara Esports | 58c | 129.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Yawara Esports | 61c | 109.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yawara Esports | 59c | 92.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Yawara Esports | 56c | 89.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc347…8ee3backed Yawara Esports | 59c | 55.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Fake do Biru | 40c | 48.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yawara Esports | 61c | 39.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…c834backed Yawara Esports | 63c | 38.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yawara Esports | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Fake do Biru | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Fake do Biru | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil PlayoffsYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 WinnerYawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.