CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfc639f47cdaec834d4b4f1488e9b381fbfa4a5e04875eca3a7fcb9726aed05d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Yawara Esports, Fake do Biru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Yawara Esports | 47c | 1,573$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.49 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed Fake do Biru | 55c | 913$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.02 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Fake do Biru | 60c | 592.5$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.5 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Fake do Biru | 47c | 571$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.69 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Yawara Esports | 40c | 295$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Yawara Esports | 48c | 270.92$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.78 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Fake do Biru | 67c | 203.03$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Fake do Biru | 59c | 181.24$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.09 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yawara Esports | 57c | 122.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Fake do Biru | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fake do Biru | 51c | 93.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Fake do Biru | 14c | 76.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Fake do Biru | 36c | 74.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Fake do Biru | 52c | 46.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yawara Esports | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fake do Biru | 43c | 29.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yawara Esports | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Yawara Esports | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil PlayoffsYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 WinnerYawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.