NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83af396904040ca42eb2ebcd6237b6a8375501ea32f76f107a1a046f5ccc8fdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,482,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,455,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,482,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 52c | 641,715$332,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309,461.56 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Over | 48c | 422,875$202,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202,980 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 49c | 165,454$81,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,116.83 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 94,885$46,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,212.74 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 50c | 83,791$41,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,958.08 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 49c | 62,558$30,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,904.52 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 48c | 59,064$28,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,350.72 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 49c | 46,583$22,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,658.27 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 51c | 30,576$15,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,593.68 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Over | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 49c | 29,896$14,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,530.65 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…3d49backed Over | 49c | 27,941$13,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,640.6 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc5…9c30backed Over | 48c | 27,494$13,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,196.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 51c | 27,120$13,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,831.26 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Over | 48c | 26,071$12,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,513.99 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 48c | 20,183$9,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,688 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 48c | 20,149$9,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,705.85 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Over | 51c | 19,703$10,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,048.62 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad92…009abacked Over | 48c | 19,269$9,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,249.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 16,988$8,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,286.5 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…5c47backed Over | 48c | 15,018$7,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,208.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 48c | 12,408$5,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,956.03 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 10,311$5,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,155.55 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 48c | 10,092$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c98…fc7ebacked Over | 48c | 10,092$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…f1b9backed Over | 48c | 10,092$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 9,989$4,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,794.63 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 50c | 9,965$4,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,982.26 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 51c | 9,708$4,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,943.27 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 49c | 8,705$4,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,265.36 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Over | 48c | 8,637$4,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,145.69 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…fc5abacked Over | 49c | 8,562$4,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,195.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 49c | 7,913$3,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,877.6 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 6,922$3,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.91 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…d137backed Over | 50c | 6,390$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 49c | 6,113$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.71 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 39c | 5,675$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.31 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 5,541$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.05 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 61c | 4,898$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.04 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Under | 50c | 4,850$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Over | 48c | 3,839$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.66 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…9c1bbacked Over | 48c | 3,633$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 51c | 3,262$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.61 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 3,161$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 3,106$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.67 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…b221backed Over | 51c | 2,868$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Under | 51c | 2,855$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.81 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…5350backed Over | 50c | 2,824$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.07 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 2,702$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.04 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 2,693$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 51c | 2,557$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.95 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Over | 48c | 2,513$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.16 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 49c | 2,186$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.47 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 2,076$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.81 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…685abacked Over | 45c | 2,058$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 49c | 2,006$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.23 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…c31fbacked Over | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.01 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Over | 50c | 1,924$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.24 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Over | 48c | 1,903$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.58 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 49c | 1,760$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.4 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 51c | 1,747$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.07 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Over | 49c | 1,692$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.08 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 50c | 1,651$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.47 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 49c | 1,599$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.88 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 1,509$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.47 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 49c | 1,469$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.01 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 48c | 1,365$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.21 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…af96backed Over | 50c | 1,183$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.7 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 50c | 1,182$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.67 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 1,085$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.18 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 51c | 1,068$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.51 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 50c | 1,051$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.54 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Over | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 49c | 1,006$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.59 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 50c | 1,006$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.92 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbc…dc48backed Over | 48c | 1,001$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…ff8ebacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…6dd7backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…6961backed Under | 49c | 999.94$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…8a37backed Over | 47c | 999.72$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.87 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 50c | 971.44$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.72 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Over | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.01 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x809d…a45dbacked Over | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 968.8$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.02 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Over | 49c | 961.64$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.21 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 53c | 925.7$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.83 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Under | 48c | 918.18$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.45 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 50c | 873$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.5 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 49c | 864.75$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.26 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 49c | 863.99$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.36 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 10c | 860.77$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 50c | 841.96$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.98 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 50c | 814.8$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.4 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 48c | 807.45$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.58 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 790$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 50c | 785.55$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.12 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 51c | 776.48$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-1.5)Suns won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jordan Goodwin: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Mark Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Warriors vs. SunsSuns won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.