NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc676f3a565a7e06fe4672df0b4a0883773ae6b49967d18e4c28bfc908d6ac3f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 53c | 28,046$14,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,212.06 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 21,174$9,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,951.83 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 7,391$3,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Under | 52c | 3,539$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.92 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 54c | 3,092$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.91 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 2,784$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…7120backed Over | 49c | 2,093$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 10c | 2,092$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.17 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 1,610$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.08 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 48c | 1,409$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.22 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 48c | 1,260$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.79 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under | 52c | 1,069$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.02 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 52c | 1,040$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.58 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Over | 3c | 754.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9757…8fe0backed Under | 54c | 751.98$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 747.86$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.97 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 48c | 746.06$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.11 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Over | 47c | 664.93$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.52 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over | 48c | 624.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.63 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 48c | 600.47$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.23 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 52c | 533.3$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.98 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 2c | 522.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 12c | 454.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 358.24$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.96 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 47c | 328.28$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.72 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 308.59$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.86 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 25c | 297.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 47c | 290.62$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.59 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Over | 55c | 263.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Under | 53c | 225.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 58c | 203.74$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 202.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…415cbacked Under | 52c | 190.41$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf07d…aa71backed Over | 17c | 185.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 46c | 181.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 175$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Under | 60c | 167.61$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 48c | 157.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 156.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.73 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 20c | 153.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 48c | 145.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 51c | 136.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 29c | 116.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 67c | 114.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1c01backed Under | 52c | 106.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…5a89backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Over | 49c | 99.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 90.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Over | 47c | 88.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…76ccbacked Over | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 74.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 51c | 74.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Under | 53c | 73.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 47c | 73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…be63backed Under | 53c | 62.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 52c | 58.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 25c | 57.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Over | 50c | 56.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 47c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 47c | 54.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 46c | 53.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Over | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 202 | 37.1%75 W · 127 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…627bbacked Under | 53c | 45.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…38febacked Under | 53c | 45.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…8e15backed Under | 53c | 44.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 47c | 44.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254f…2fb8backed Under | 53c | 44.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…87dabacked Under | 53c | 44.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…ae51backed Under | 53c | 43.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…7347backed Under | 53c | 42.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74e…90b6backed Under | 53c | 40.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…2308backed Under | 53c | 37.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9203…e4b8backed Under | 53c | 35.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79a…cb15backed Under | 53c | 35.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 33.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…15bebacked Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked Over | 50c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…add5backed Over | 49c | 27.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 76c | 27.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Over | 48c | 27.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Over | 48c | 25.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0043…a525backed Over | 48c | 25.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…0f55backed Under | 53c | 23.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 47c | 23.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570b…1263backed Under | 53c | 22.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…a2aabacked Under | 53c | 22.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 48c | 22.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…617fbacked Under | 53c | 22.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…1ae2backed Under | 53c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…b579backed Under | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7852…3eabbacked Over | 49c | 21.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…8512backed Under | 53c | 21.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Under | 55c | 20.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 133 | 42.9%57 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-1.5)Suns won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jordan Goodwin: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Mark Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Warriors vs. SunsSuns won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.