TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9757…8fe0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Busan: Leandro Riedi vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.2
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.19
Oeiras 3: Roman Safiullin vs Henrique Rochabacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.41
Oeiras 3: Petra Marcinko vs Sinja Krausbacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.35
BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$118.63
Oeiras 3: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Max Houkesbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreevabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.99
Oeiras 3: Suzan Lamens vs Robin Montgomerybacked Robin Montgomery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$104.96
Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchibacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$23.05
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.64
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.37
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$44.28
Wuning 2: Keegan Smith vs Li Tubacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Wuning 2: San-Hui Shin vs Maximus Jonesbacked San-Hui Shin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$88.19
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreevabacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Flavio Cobolli vs. Zizou Bergs: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$63.69
Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Tom Gentzschbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.96
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+169.1%+$79.88
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.93
Barcelona Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$57.72
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baezbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+116.9%+$29.41
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.23
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.27
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.84
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$63.69
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$51.75
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.42
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+164.3%+$79.2
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$59.25
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$217.6
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.44
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.71
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.28
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$193.9
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+139.8%+$39.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$27.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.