Tennis · resolved market
Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bd9f150764db841e6fa2a6aa4292e5d97031c332b7825a40bdc28b8e309a711
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Boltof Alex Bolt, Rio Noguchi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rio Noguchi | 22c | 20,465$4,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,436.35 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Alex Bolt | 61c | 10,960$6,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,255.29 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rio Noguchi | 12c | 8,186$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Rio Noguchi | 25c | 7,510$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.94 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Rio Noguchi | 43c | 6,310$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.33 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rio Noguchi | 31c | 5,913$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.43 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rio Noguchi | 12c | 5,024$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.69 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…3838backed Rio Noguchi | 36c | 4,001$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Rio Noguchi | 37c | 3,907$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.3 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf77…bae9backed Rio Noguchi | 47c | 3,203$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.15 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Alex Bolt | 59c | 3,106$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.66 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Alex Bolt | 55c | 3,002$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.75 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Alex Bolt | 71c | 2,704$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.44 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alex Bolt | 75c | 2,397$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.76 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Rio Noguchi | 45c | 2,190$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.51 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Alex Bolt | 68c | 2,027$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.19 | 365 | 54.2%198 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Rio Noguchi | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Alex Bolt | 74c | 1,863$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.36 | 204 | 59.3%121 W · 83 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Alex Bolt | 57c | 1,732$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.63 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Rio Noguchi | 44c | 1,679$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.6 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Alex Bolt | 68c | 1,652$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.96 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Rio Noguchi | 39c | 1,611$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.44 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alex Bolt | 66c | 1,512$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.16 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alex Bolt | 73c | 1,488$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.46 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Rio Noguchi | 44c | 1,430$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.92 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Rio Noguchi | 29c | 1,405$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.24 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Alex Bolt | 65c | 1,267$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.25 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…77e1backed Alex Bolt | 79c | 1,251$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Alex Bolt | 70c | 1,230$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.6 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Rio Noguchi | 41c | 1,219$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.78 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Alex Bolt | 53c | 1,116$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.46 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…07c2backed Rio Noguchi | 31c | 1,105$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.27 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…795abacked Alex Bolt | 56c | 1,103$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…4726backed Alex Bolt | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rio Noguchi | 41c | 989.41$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.66 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Alex Bolt | 61c | 922.22$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.17 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Rio Noguchi | 35c | 889.19$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.02 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…3e3cbacked Alex Bolt | 57c | 887.04$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alex Bolt | 62c | 877.67$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.67 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Alex Bolt | 59c | 826.61$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.91 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Alex Bolt | 59c | 826.61$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.91 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Alex Bolt | 61c | 803.37$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.14 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Alex Bolt | 59c | 768.62$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.13 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Rio Noguchi | 41c | 704.45$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.39 | 224 | 65.2%146 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Alex Bolt | 56c | 695.43$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.99 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Rio Noguchi | 39c | 640$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…a72abacked Alex Bolt | 61c | 619.77$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.71 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Alex Bolt | 76c | 587.94$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.38 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Rio Noguchi | 24c | 584.76$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.45 | 203 | 31%63 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Alex Bolt | 59c | 578.63$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.24 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Alex Bolt | 70c | 559.61$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.46 | 215 | 67.4%145 W · 70 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Alex Bolt | 61c | 553.28$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.38 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Rio Noguchi | 13c | 544.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Rio Noguchi | 32c | 522.85$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.33 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Alex Bolt | 74c | 520.7$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.18 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Alex Bolt | 58c | 517.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Rio Noguchi | 36c | 502.49$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.29 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed Rio Noguchi | 17c | 490.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Alex Bolt | 64c | 482.62$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.33 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…0952backed Alex Bolt | 66c | 465.73$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.68 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Alex Bolt | 80c | 444.6$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Alex Bolt | 57c | 440.95$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.61 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…99d8backed Alex Bolt | 59c | 438.42$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.75 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Alex Bolt | 72c | 416.78$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.94 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Alex Bolt | 58c | 393.03$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…ff94backed Alex Bolt | 77c | 365.98$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alex Bolt | 74c | 365.91$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Rio Noguchi | 41c | 357.78$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.84 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Alex Bolt | 73c | 345.7$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Alex Bolt | 53c | 340.13$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.86 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Alex Bolt | 64c | 335.08$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649b…a1d6backed Rio Noguchi | 14c | 329$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Rio Noguchi | 21c | 328.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rio Noguchi | 38c | 320.34$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.73 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c4…148dbacked Rio Noguchi | 31c | 304.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Alex Bolt | 67c | 293.18$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Rio Noguchi | 32c | 292.89$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Alex Bolt | 69c | 288.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f10…0cb9backed Alex Bolt | 67c | 277.37$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Alex Bolt | 56c | 260.78$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.74 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Alex Bolt | 55c | 259.22$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.89 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Alex Bolt | 53c | 243.92$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.64 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Rio Noguchi | 19c | 240.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Alex Bolt | 57c | 239.28$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.89 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Alex Bolt | 63c | 233.14$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Alex Bolt | 64c | 232.87$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1180backed Rio Noguchi | 43c | 231.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Alex Bolt | 64c | 226.45$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…30acbacked Rio Noguchi | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Alex Bolt | 77c | 211$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Alex Bolt | 57c | 210.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 150 | 39.3%59 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Alex Bolt | 54c | 206.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Alex Bolt | 67c | 205.92$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Alex Bolt | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Rio Noguchi | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Alex Bolt | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 689 | 51.1%352 W · 337 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Alex Bolt | 59c | 194.53$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 205 | 65.4%134 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…667dbacked Alex Bolt | 75c | 192.68$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 234 | 68.8%161 W · 73 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Alex Bolt | 62c | 192.29$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Alex Bolt | 80c | 192.18$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchithis page
- Alex Bolt vs. Rio Noguchi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.