TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,169
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,169 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6277…5a3fbacked Yes34c1,117$383 inLost-$383.292524%6 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No66c984.06$652 inWon+$331.6439265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No64c398.25$255 inWon+$143.3790863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes35c324.5$112 inLost-$112.3295049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed No64c256.71$165 inWon+$91.6336954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70c1…6701backed Yes38c114.72$43 inLost-$43.322934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61bc…54f5backed Yes48c101.87$49 inLost-$48.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed No52c100.15$52 inWon+$48.0776247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No64c94.99$61 inWon+$34.295260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No53c67.6$36 inWon+$32.055,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Yes35c59.76$21 inLost-$20.9214649.3%72 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Yes48c50.95$24 inLost-$24.211,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Yes40c48.2$19 inLost-$19.2825850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes47c38.73$18 inLost-$18.27119.7%14 W · 57 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-51.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes40c36.15$14 inLost-$14.4630055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked No65c22.01$14 inWon+$7.746255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked No53c20$11 inWon+$9.432866.5%218 W · 110 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked No65c16.1$10 inWon+$5.647945.6%36 W · 43 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.