TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,506 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Under47c15,943$7,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,493.218651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over53c13,367$7,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,337.3320155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over53c11,229$5,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,277.634456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under46c9,203$4,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,233.231,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c5,337$2,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,577.581,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Over52c4,999$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.7617247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under47c4,656$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,190.7910944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over52c4,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over54c3,870$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.218444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c3,246$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.154,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c3,097$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.44,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under47c2,468$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.9621446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c2,355$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.036,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Over54c2,311$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.521127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-49.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over66c2,286$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.088,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under48c2,187$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.761,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under48c2,042$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.6612146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over51c2,021$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.0755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Under50c2,006$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under44c1,763$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.792,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over53c1,698$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.1116555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c1,447$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.9384443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under47c1,387$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.8916946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c1,156$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.71,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Over53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.085160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c1,053$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.9764948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d67…1fa5backed Over53c920.75$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.751833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c799.99$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.331,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x737e…6e75backed Over53c729.62$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2b0…cfa1backed Over54c650.27$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.091258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Over53c608$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.76875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+42.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01e0…d1cebacked Under50c591.58$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.791216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-61.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over52c567.3$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.3152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.048641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a16…5ce9backed Over52c565$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.21369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over54c509.26$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.2647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under47c507$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.291,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Over58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102763%17 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over54c496.3$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.34443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over54c463$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.985358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc89…4ca1backed Over52c438.38$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.424060%24 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under48c398$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.0456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Over54c365.99$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.584047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under48c329.99$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.456043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under4c306$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3619548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c302.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0418850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over52c300$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14310747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a02…8773backed Over68c292.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.76540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39a5…5abfbacked Over53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.022462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over50c274$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over56c267.95$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9518748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over53c264.28$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.211,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5b…a4d9backed Over52c251.35$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.656358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over51c219.73$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.672166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c217.34$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.71,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over52c204.81$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.761,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x845a…5606backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under48c199.69$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1918653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Over54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.412450.8%63 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under46c188.94$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.931,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1927745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under48c168.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5425340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Over54c152$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.921643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbd1…fa9bbacked Over53c141.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under47c140$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3360049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a1…4ca0backed Over55c130.36$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+108.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over55c123.36$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.951,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb3d…a77bbacked Over53c121.42$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.07560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbd…a3a4backed Over53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.218050%40 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x262c…5f00backed Over55c109.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under47c108.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0225554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed0a…c809backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7bfa…9c71backed Under48c101.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.73757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4725559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4737253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2889…fc69backed Under46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under47c99.66$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4466352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3460250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Over52c93.35$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.366659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Over55c91.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.258048.8%39 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf090…aaffbacked Over58c85.34$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.84580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under49c84$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1639552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over55c83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…2149backed Over53c81.85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.465630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Over54c78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8814649.3%72 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over54c77.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7814445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x508f…775fbacked Over55c69$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+58.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9c…8927backed Over55c68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Over61c65.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8517237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Over54c65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.93256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6bc…42c1backed Over53c65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.553857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed Over54c62.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5410561%64 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under49c52.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6292750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.