TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf090…aaff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samsonbacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$18.84
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajalbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$43.09
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linettebacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.04
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$18.94
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritzbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.67
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.91
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$51.38
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Ealabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.16
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+203%+$26.12
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.34
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$29.68
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.54
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.07
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$19.7
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.29
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$23.64
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.96
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.13
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$42.94
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.48
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.75
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.2
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$47.9
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.84
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.98
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$46.01
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.