TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,868

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,744 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under28c37,865$10,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,385.443647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over72c15,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8001,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over48c14,053$6,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,764.671,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over75c10,814$8,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,137.4612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under39c5,694$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,463.3911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4605,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over45c1,067$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.884,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7701,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over38c978.86$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.6687750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over76c805.07$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.521,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over51c711.8$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.865,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under42c569.55$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.843,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under25c521.94$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.528,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over19c498.64$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1454715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x797f…f08abacked Under26c465$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.18050%40 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under24c420$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.22,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…2751backed Over40c376.09$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8517446%80 W · 94 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under27c268.12$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.619,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over76c266.97$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.929354.9%161 W · 132 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over73c265.97$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.966,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under38c265.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.916,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Under63c241.77$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.524320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under45c235$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.526,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Over59c235$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.394148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f4…3e21backed Under27c203$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.1925034.8%87 W · 163 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over25c200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.671,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under71c197$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.131,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under41c188.27$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.475,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over61c170.26$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8588053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over73c162.78$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.631,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.864235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under25c139.92$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.371,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under31c137.39$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.434,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Under27c129.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6328639.2%112 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4efe…d987backed Under79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick51cpaid+113.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over58c110.4$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2579255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under38c103.06$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.94,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7554146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over60c99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.41,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Over65c99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.354854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under80c96$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over75c94.96$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2258054.5%316 W · 264 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Over58c85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.330340.6%123 W · 180 L-16.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under26c84.65$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.643,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under43c80.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.992,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over58c79.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.111,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over59c78.89$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.813,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over41c75.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8390446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under68c63.74$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.228,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over73c60$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.81,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over22c56.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3570546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under51c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.189355.9%52 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under26c52.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.922,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over33c50.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.711,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x3e11…d36ebacked Under25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.59026.7%24 W · 66 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf090…aaffbacked Over60c45.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.54966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under25c43.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.633,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under64c39.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.078,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over68c38.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.062,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over53c37.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.794,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under40c35.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.522,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over63c35.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2663954.5%348 W · 291 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Under44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0918151.9%94 W · 87 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Under35c33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4516253.1%86 W · 76 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Over75c28.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3417842.7%76 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over53c27.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4694648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over58c26.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over72c26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7225850.4%130 W · 128 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Over59c25.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551656.6%292 W · 224 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Under55c25.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.474254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over74c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09a6…252abacked Over74c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.59359.1%55 W · 38 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under45c24.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.591,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0645…c08ebacked Over58c23.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.456744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed Under70c20.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.199473.4%69 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick74cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over75c20.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.121,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c12…5d45backed Over56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Over75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550962.9%320 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed Under75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0913353.4%71 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over59c18.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.787370.1%612 W · 261 L+91.6wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under74c16.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2713255.3%73 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over74c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7655643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb207…839bbacked Over75c14.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.122142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.