MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd68a90410270f7a0889b6a7bc88f93591c43298fd210602baa435cf5de0eef9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 43c | 3,366$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.06 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Under | 57c | 2,651$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.01 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d9…a6c3backed Under | 62c | 2,217$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 2,082$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.55 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 62c | 1,793$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.84 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 38c | 1,622$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.06 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 24c | 1,425$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.79 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 29c | 1,373$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.59 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 1,146$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.63 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Under | 57c | 1,044$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.71 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 849.95$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.43 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 35c | 808.93$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Over | 25c | 643.53$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.34 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 25c | 641$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 564.61$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.07 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 17c | 544.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Under | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 76c | 348$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Under | 56c | 241.07$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…d675backed Under | 61c | 230.08$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a8…4287backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 55c | 139.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Under | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 185 | 56.2%104 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Under | 57c | 84.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Under | 71c | 74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…70a8backed Under | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…10e8backed Under | 57c | 60.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 44c | 50.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 22c | 49.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 77c | 45.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…e8bcbacked Over | 46c | 43.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…eb35backed Under | 55c | 43.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 43.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 46c | 40.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 55c | 36.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…82fcbacked Under | 54c | 34.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 77c | 31.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6023…7141backed Under | 56c | 28.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Under | 62c | 22.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Under | 67c | 18.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 69c | 17.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…6d66backed Under | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. AthleticsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.