MLB · resolved market
Spread: Athletics (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe5511e8f5f91455c8f93a2487335ba339f1af9dd3c995fc7c67de7ce4bb7125
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Athletics, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 58c | 8,759$5,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705.9 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…32a8backed Athletics | 46c | 6,525$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 67c | 2,414$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.71 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 33c | 1,654$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.99 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 31c | 1,270$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.12 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Athletics | 40c | 833.33$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Athletics | 34c | 646.23$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.25 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 34c | 525$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.25 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 504.38$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.61 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics | 32c | 364.19$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 33c | 327.39$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colorado Rockies | 67c | 320.27$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 286.49$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.64 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 220$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Athletics | 9c | 214.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Athletics | 43c | 212$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Colorado Rockies | 58c | 206.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Athletics | 25c | 204.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics | 40c | 178.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Athletics | 13c | 171.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Athletics | 43c | 171.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 28c | 152$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Athletics | 21c | 140.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Athletics | 16c | 126.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Athletics | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado Rockies | 74c | 105.23$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Colorado Rockies | 75c | 103$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Athletics | 27c | 91.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Colorado Rockies | 70c | 88.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Colorado Rockies | 58c | 81.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Colorado Rockies | 64c | 80.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Colorado Rockies | 63c | 55.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado Rockies | 68c | 53.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 49.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Athletics | 32c | 46.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Colorado Rockies | 75c | 36.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 36.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 80c | 27.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Colorado Rockies | 74c | 26.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Colorado Rockies | 61c | 24.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Colorado Rockies | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Colorado Rockies | 73c | 23.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Colorado Rockies | 72c | 20.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…8bbdbacked Colorado Rockies | 76c | 17.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…6cf7backed Colorado Rockies | 74c | 15.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 252 | 60.7%153 W · 99 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. AthleticsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.