TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,470
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,470 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under50c116,703$58,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,371.5143647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over53c48,090$25,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,478.0786548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under47c35,775$16,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,960.541149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c32,034$16,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,019.9211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Over50c20,400$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,20027452.6%144 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c15,678$7,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8391,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c12,500$6,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2501,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over50c9,176$4,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,581.434,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over51c6,567$3,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,366.511,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Over52c4,516$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368.327047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under48c4,150$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150.3739047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c3,018$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.776,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c3,013$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.4610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00061351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over54c1,800$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97286653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under76c1,790$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.2912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over22c1,578$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.1687750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under50c1,500$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75525249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over50c1,198$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5993,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Over53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.766050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over51c1,019$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.8928154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over15c844.64$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7154715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c840.24$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.925,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over50c840$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over39c777.26$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.29,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over28c757.28$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.853,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37539948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under47c613.7$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.268,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Over53c570$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.126948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c525.34$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.188,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507444.6%33 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39e9…e2dfbacked Under50c404.76$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.437259.7%43 W · 29 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over24c236$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.595,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under47c218$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.12,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over50c208$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Under48c199.61$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.869351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over52c193$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.361,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under47c170$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.139440.9%161 W · 233 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under76c158$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.631,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Under50c142.33$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9419550.8%99 W · 96 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over36c136.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.531,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xb8dd…5672backed Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173650%18 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf9…1f3bbacked Over24c103$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.29616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x887f…7289backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5138142%160 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over52c89.91$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.832,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over52c79$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0872648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over20c69.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.045,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa25a…04b7backed Under50c68.66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3314546.2%67 W · 78 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Over51c57.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.487851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under47c55.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.682,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over53c53.45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.331,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49e1…7bf6backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under63c47.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.378,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under74c46.04$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.973,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over50c44.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Under80c43.07$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.687569.3%52 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Under80c42.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.566248.4%30 W · 32 L-15.4wins-0.25per pick73cpaid-33.7%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under49c42.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.951,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6719252.6%101 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a9…3a77backed Over39c40.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.976344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0645…c08ebacked Over39c40.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.796744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1355643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x51f4…3e21backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2025034.8%87 W · 163 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.89355.9%52 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06fc…f631backed Under50c38.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.382360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc98a…5da6backed Under49c37.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.173551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Under75c37.18$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4626063.8%166 W · 94 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under65c36.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.752,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b83…d4d6backed Under50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under54c30.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8969447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d5…53d0backed Over39c26.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.473444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5270546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e6…e67abacked Under77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.514745.6%67 W · 80 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.921,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda67…0b91backed Under55c24.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.885657.1%32 W · 24 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf47f…15adbacked Under61c20.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.984759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over53c20.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.761,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1019248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.