MLB · resolved market

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3d8611a37297d53401111fce7b5d7bcb306e68ea3127ac2aa7abdb86389c5ca

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: San Diego Padresof Cincinnati Reds, San Diego Padres
Resolved: Jun 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,099,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,134,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,099,584 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 506 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbddf…c684backed San Diego Padres	59c	501,790$296,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205,733.88	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed Cincinnati Reds	41c	500,000$205,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205,000	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres	55c	41,779$22,873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,906.07	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds	52c	30,000$15,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,500	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed San Diego Padres	66c	29,517$19,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,985.62	435	54%235 W · 200 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Cincinnati Reds	40c	27,453$10,981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,981.11	550	53.1%292 W · 258 L	+20.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe649…51dcbacked San Diego Padres	43c	24,434$10,452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,982.3	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres	47c	20,929$9,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,030.17	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed San Diego Padres	60c	20,000$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,999.99	604	51%308 W · 296 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds	40c	18,288$7,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,315.2	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed San Diego Padres	60c	15,186$9,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,074.58	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds	54c	13,617$7,301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,301.14	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds	32c	11,679$3,747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,747.01	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5762…90eebacked San Diego Padres	19c	10,409$1,936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,472.97	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed San Diego Padres	45c	10,331$4,603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,728.29	217	67.7%147 W · 70 L	+36.1wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x8a67…e403backed San Diego Padres	49c	10,019$4,909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,110	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3695…c66cbacked Cincinnati Reds	63c	9,475$6,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,011.55	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.28per pick	50cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked San Diego Padres	60c	6,250$3,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,522.16	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds	52c	5,306$2,747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,747.11	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds	53c	4,126$2,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,201.1	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds	51c	3,946$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.64	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed San Diego Padres	52c	3,707$1,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,768.11	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed San Diego Padres	15c	3,667$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,116.67	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed San Diego Padres	71c	3,608$2,557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,051.36	115	51.3%59 W · 56 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Diego Padres	44c	3,509$1,539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,969.15	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked San Diego Padres	27c	3,178$858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,320.04	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego Padres	55c	3,164$1,737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,427.42	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds	48c	3,106$1,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,475.46	11,356	52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L	+209.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Cincinnati Reds	40c	3,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	289	44.3%128 W · 161 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Cincinnati Reds	41c	3,000$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,230	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	+6.2wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds	39c	2,933$1,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,143.89	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Cincinnati Reds	41c	2,800$1,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,148	199	50.3%100 W · 99 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Cincinnati Reds	64c	2,675$1,712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,712.23	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-8.9wins	-0.23per pick	60cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked San Diego Padres	59c	2,580$1,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,057.78	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed San Diego Padres	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.9wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+70.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres	51c	2,494$1,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,215.83	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Cincinnati Reds	38c	2,475$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.49	299	48.8%146 W · 153 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Cincinnati Reds	5c	2,400$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	11cpaid	+117.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Cincinnati Reds	5c	2,400$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	+4.5wins	+0.10per pick	11cpaid	+89.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x65e5…0cadbacked Cincinnati Reds	5c	2,400$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.9	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+47.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked San Diego Padres	61c	2,398$1,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$929.44	791	47.9%379 W · 412 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked San Diego Padres	59c	2,346$1,387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$958.61	118	48.3%57 W · 61 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd82…9f66backed Cincinnati Reds	43c	2,331$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	159	37.7%60 W · 99 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres	40c	2,031$822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,208.2	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f6…55aabacked Cincinnati Reds	5c	2,013$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.25	64	21.9%14 W · 50 L	+6.8wins	+0.11per pick	11cpaid	+74.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cincinnati Reds	68c	2,000$1,368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,367.62	1,510	39%589 W · 921 L	-16.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Cincinnati Reds	11c	2,000$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.18per pick	20cpaid	+81.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds	61c	1,883$1,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,152.74	600	43.3%260 W · 340 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed San Diego Padres	59c	1,830$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750.3	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed San Diego Padres	61c	1,618$979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$638.75	400	43%172 W · 228 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x062a…30f7backed Cincinnati Reds	5c	1,600$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	14cpaid	+123.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed San Diego Padres	68c	1,547$1,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.98	880	46.4%408 W · 472 L	-22.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cincinnati Reds	41c	1,516$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.56	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed San Diego Padres	60c	1,500$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	432	53.9%233 W · 199 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds	41c	1,490$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Cincinnati Reds	40c	1,400$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	619	47.7%295 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	1,358$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.48	206	47.1%97 W · 109 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds	60c	1,285$772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.65	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbc9…d80bbacked San Diego Padres	54c	1,256$681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.34	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Cincinnati Reds	40c	1,250$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	327	42.2%138 W · 189 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds	42c	1,200$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.06	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb99f…0106backed Cincinnati Reds	40c	1,200$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed San Diego Padres	65c	1,199$784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.67	148	58.8%87 W · 61 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	1,119$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.91	346	39.6%137 W · 209 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed San Diego Padres	58c	1,059$618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.18	1,121	44.1%494 W · 627 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Cincinnati Reds	37c	1,037$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.73	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f31…ac9fbacked San Diego Padres	60c	1,013$608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.33	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed San Diego Padres	44c	1,013$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.99	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed San Diego Padres	60c	1,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	107	50.5%54 W · 53 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds	39c	1,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Cincinnati Reds	11c	999.99$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+5.5wins	+0.15per pick	21cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Cincinnati Reds	14c	999.53$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.77	979	44.4%435 W · 544 L	-22.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Cincinnati Reds	62c	996.99$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.08	532	61.8%329 W · 203 L	+20.6wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Cincinnati Reds	68c	925.02$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.32	1,218	55.6%677 W · 541 L	+94.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5074…0493backed San Diego Padres	61c	914.05$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.48	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.32per pick	51cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Cincinnati Reds	41c	878.04$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	945	49%463 W · 482 L	-38.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Cincinnati Reds	75c	860$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645	284	53.9%153 W · 131 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed Cincinnati Reds	79c	852.05$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.12	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds	40c	826.22$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.79	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5257…f324backed Cincinnati Reds	63c	808.97$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.65	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Cincinnati Reds	63c	795.22$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.99	603	50.1%302 W · 301 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds	42c	795$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.38	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7e65…694fbacked Cincinnati Reds	59c	750$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.5	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8130…5a50backed San Diego Padres	47c	739.47$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.6	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+4.9wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Cincinnati Reds	40c	728$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.13	514	49.2%253 W · 261 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cc0…7faabacked Cincinnati Reds	41c	724.39$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297	213	47.9%102 W · 111 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked San Diego Padres	41c	723.95$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.95	305	29.8%91 W · 214 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Cincinnati Reds	42c	714.29$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	98	37.8%37 W · 61 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked San Diego Padres	48c	701.82$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.71	208	43.3%90 W · 118 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed San Diego Padres	57c	700$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	282	58.5%165 W · 117 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x468a…c764backed Cincinnati Reds	68c	700$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed San Diego Padres	61c	689.68$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.69	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked San Diego Padres	58c	678.39$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.92	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked San Diego Padres	56c	673.8$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.3	373	48.3%180 W · 193 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x886f…aa8fbacked San Diego Padres	61c	655.74$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.74	119	51.3%61 W · 58 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Cincinnati Reds	41c	644.99$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.85	1,310	43.6%571 W · 739 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds	71c	636.65$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.68	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c0…91f1backed Cincinnati Reds	61c	618.03$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed San Diego Padres	59c	610.25$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.5	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	55cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresthis page
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego PadresYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event