MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c3f6883161eb8c7a29b9e783ad3f5bb3ced2cfe7752a9620bb08a3263e2e71c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 50c | 17,587$8,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,862.89 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 8,912$4,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,289.32 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 43c | 7,777$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,344.11 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 57c | 7,587$4,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.31 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 45c | 5,523$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.44 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.87 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 35c | 1,624$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.19 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 58c | 1,414$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.91 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 43c | 1,168$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.46 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Over | 46c | 1,096$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.84 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 1,002$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.11 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -17.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 716.92$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.27 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 45c | 553.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.47 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Over | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 422.44$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.92 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 44c | 407$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.66 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 50c | 334.94$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.97 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 50c | 265.12$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Over | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 57c | 191.23$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 57c | 189$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6285…3f5abacked Under | 52c | 186$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -70%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 43c | 185.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 37c | 178$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Over | 40c | 154$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 59c | 153.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 46c | 150.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2992…0d26backed Under | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Over | 43c | 122.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 45c | 104$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 59c | 100.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 57c | 100.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Under | 47c | 95.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 41c | 89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 59c | 82.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 45c | 82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…f251backed Under | 37c | 79.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 43c | 73.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 50c | 71.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 42c | 57.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2385…9a13backed Over | 54c | 54.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Over | 50c | 54.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 37c | 50.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 41c | 46.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…e8bcbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 53c | 44.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Over | 54c | 42.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 58c | 41.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 57c | 40.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 59c | 37.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 56c | 37.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…a9a4backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 54c | 32.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x199a…a068backed Over | 35c | 30.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +468.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 57c | 28.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Under | 43c | 28.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Over | 57c | 28.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over | 49c | 27.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 56c | 26.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 65c | 25.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 209 | 62.7%131 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 48c | 25.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7579…524abacked Under | 42c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…b4b4backed Over | 54c | 23.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 44c | 23.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 52c | 22.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.