MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabbe6e4b3a8d257e2b76f316c4a6cda27ac50d20791716096f617c010753398b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 49c | 35,456$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,956.21 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 13,748$7,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,139.42 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6285…3f5abacked Under | 55c | 10,129$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550.04 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -70%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 7,402$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,737.66 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 7,187$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323.86 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 5,886$3,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,023.05 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 39c | 2,749$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.21 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Under | 57c | 2,200$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.09 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 2,141$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.82 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 1,887$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.41 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 1,782$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 55c | 1,112$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.6 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 941.33$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.64 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 49c | 618.46$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.41 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Over | 48c | 555.72$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.97 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 555.12$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.67 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 35c | 496.79$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.49 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 420$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 390.96$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.3 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 359$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.61 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 44c | 322.01$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.82 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Under | 62c | 240.11$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.87 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 60c | 239.96$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 269 | 62.1%167 W · 102 L | +44.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 59c | 203$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 57c | 139.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 131$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 42c | 117.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…c745backed Under | 44c | 105.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 31c | 104.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 53c | 102.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Under | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 451 | 49.2%222 W · 229 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 91.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…0ababacked Over | 34c | 85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…e4a7backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Under | 53c | 80.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf85e…5cd5backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 59c | 72.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 38c | 71.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 32c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 16c | 65.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 48c | 62.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over | 49c | 58.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 55c | 55.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 49c | 54.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 39c | 44.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 59c | 44.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9d…77debacked Under | 52c | 44.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 48c | 41.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Under | 53c | 37.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 33.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edf…f16fbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…7572backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc62…ba48backed Over | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 46c | 28.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 51c | 26.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Under | 68c | 24.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 45c | 24.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x667a…01cfbacked Over | 49c | 21.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Under | 69c | 19.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 55c | 18.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.