United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc1fb1d614f0e2137fcbd97fc45a2a0979a524ac566aca273c647f800d33d687

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $170,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $178,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,826 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	58c	24,855$14,362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,362.49	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	33c	10,727$3,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,149.83	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under	7c	10,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.27per pick	6cpaid	+304.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe44f…fff1backed Under	7c	9,600$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	7cpaid	+185.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Over	61c	7,771$4,740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,030.71	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	+6.6wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Under	8c	7,200$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.16per pick	8cpaid	+196.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e29…5777backed Under	7c	6,886$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.31	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	6cpaid	+100%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	62c	6,434$3,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,468.03	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20a3…0fcabacked Under	6c	6,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under	40c	5,650$2,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,266.52	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Under	7c	5,575$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under	7c	5,500$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365	69	10.1%7 W · 62 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	60c	5,000$3,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,974.99	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Under	39c	5,000$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,949.95	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	35c	4,430$1,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,878.18	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Under	6c	4,200$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	+7.6wins	+0.17per pick	8cpaid	+183.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x47c7…3776backed Under	8c	4,069$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.49	47	17%8 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4c…39c0backed Under	8c	3,600$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	44c	3,365$1,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,473.95	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under	2c	3,300$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	64	6.3%4 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d9…6ae6backed Under	6c	3,200$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Under	8c	3,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8963…c780backed Under	8c	3,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cf7…f420backed Under	6c	3,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc9…ab64backed Under	5c	3,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	+6.8wins	+0.20per pick	6cpaid	+327.9%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2887…a552backed Under	8c	2,400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	7cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Over	61c	2,131$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$831.15	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	62cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0df…9cf9backed Under	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+2.6wins	+0.13per pick	7cpaid	+121.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Under	1c	1,800$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed Over	60c	1,642$984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$657.62	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	39c	1,544$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.82	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	39c	1,211$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.38	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…d922backed Under	8c	1,200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	9cpaid	+304.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under	39c	1,000$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.13	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeaa…95d6backed Under	38c	999.98$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.99	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f81…fdffbacked Over	59c	887.99$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.07	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over	60c	827.32$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.32	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over	61c	820$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.8	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over	61c	819.67$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.67	304	65.1%198 W · 106 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	39c	797.32$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.58	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over	61c	699.89$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.96	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Over	43c	697.86$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.86	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	73c	680.77$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.77	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	38c	654.52$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.72	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under	37c	579.38$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.83	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	39c	575.31$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.75	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Under	38c	570.57$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.76	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Over	59c	524.36$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.99	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Under	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under	40c	483.33$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.33	265	37.7%100 W · 165 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba9…f812backed Over	44c	454.56$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.56	79	13.9%11 W · 68 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x308f…35cabacked Over	39c	400$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf353…692abacked Over	61c	330.38$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.38	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over	63c	317.62$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.62	137	54.7%75 W · 62 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	14c	316.74$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.69	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	40c	283.05$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.19	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over	52c	253.64$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.34	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4385…5560backed Under	5c	250$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	72	50%36 W · 36 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc06b…d849backed Over	44c	231$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.36	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	35cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Over	38c	230.26$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.76	292	32.9%96 W · 196 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under	13c	209.54$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.24	88	17%15 W · 73 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under	40c	206.87$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.75	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked Over	62c	200$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	110	45.5%50 W · 60 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e9…4288backed Under	41c	192.1$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.76	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Under	39c	187.32$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.18	326	42.9%140 W · 186 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed Over	57c	181$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.97	108	51.9%56 W · 52 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f2…1652backed Over	58c	172.55$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.55	130	37.7%49 W · 81 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	37c	172.32$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.76	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f22…1d6bbacked Over	61c	161.69$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.06	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Over	62c	161.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	156	54.5%85 W · 71 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Under	51c	156.47$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.42	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+3.6wins	+0.26per pick	53cpaid	+53.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2bf0…ffe4backed Under	65c	154.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	41c	153.24$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.2	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Under	41c	135.21$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	152	27%41 W · 111 L	-9.5wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	12c	133.89$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x44e6…24f3backed Over	39c	132$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.52	158	45.6%72 W · 86 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefd8…b7cebacked Under	71c	130.99$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.20per pick	58cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e68…b271backed Over	61c	127.23$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.62	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	47c	124.6$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.8	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc7…f7debacked Under	62c	123.15$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.35	149	39.6%59 W · 90 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a11…bcdcbacked Under	41c	120$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	63	42.9%27 W · 36 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4621…9ba4backed Over	64c	117.4$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.4	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.21per pick	68cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2821…9534backed Under	41c	113.49$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.53	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69a1…22b8backed Over	46c	112.1$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.95	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+4.7wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+47.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over	61c	107.7$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	311	49.5%154 W · 157 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under	39c	105.97$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.54	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4acb…74fcbacked Under	42c	102.5$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-7.3wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	59c	100$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.9	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7366…d1aabacked Under	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed Under	40c	99.97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.99	128	71.9%92 W · 36 L	+14.6wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x78f0…7bf4backed Under	42c	95.24$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	106	46.2%49 W · 57 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over	61c	90.16$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.16	126	54%68 W · 58 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under	39c	84.87$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.1	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1edf…6be6backed Over	41c	84.78$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.01	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+3.7wins	+0.16per pick	43cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe01e…bb24backed Over	60c	83.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+55.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e9c…2abbbacked Over	61c	82.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.15	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over	61c	81.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.97	510	45.3%231 W · 279 L	+21.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37bb…71ddbacked Over	61c	81.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.97	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9660…33b3backed Over	61c	81.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.97	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	50c	81.1$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.47	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5this page
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-2.5)United States won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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