United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24934a23b612c9bb05ef77090906dffab0b752ca463cf6d34c19a64d33431232

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $859,602
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $921,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $859,602 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	63c	131,023$81,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81,935.19	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over	49c	100,000$49,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,999.96	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over	34c	89,520$30,745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58,775.41	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Under	60c	42,222$25,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,544.26	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Under	3c	26,510$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.07	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8dcb…6d5bbacked Over	9c	26,151$2,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,882.41	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	18cpaid	+235.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over	61c	23,712$14,579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,132.41	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	57c	23,647$13,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,558.17	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	56c	22,543$12,609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,608.85	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under	60c	18,622$11,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,168.95	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under	1c	15,095$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.95	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	8c	14,229$1,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,072.01	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over	25c	13,306$3,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,924.02	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a0…2378backed Under	80c	12,732$10,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,177.12	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee32…c685backed Under	5c	10,696$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.88	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	14cpaid	+102%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over	10c	10,132$1,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,096.53	362	35.9%130 W · 232 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Over	39c	10,000$3,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,110	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under	78c	9,428$7,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,322.35	158	44.3%70 W · 88 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	66c	7,482$4,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,908.1	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under	74c	7,281$5,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,380.36	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	3c	7,080$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.13	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Under	79c	6,648$5,234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,233.95	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over	41c	6,225$2,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,672.79	226	39.4%89 W · 137 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under	61c	5,541$3,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,377.14	250	38.8%97 W · 153 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	46c	4,781$2,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,603.96	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Over	47c	4,548$2,138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,409.88	197	38.1%75 W · 122 L	+8.8wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	19c	4,268$805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,462.91	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Over	8c	4,000$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,680	159	37.7%60 W · 99 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over	43c	4,000$1,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,279.99	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over	41c	3,915$1,599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,316.48	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Over	49c	3,883$1,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,985.23	87	28.7%25 W · 62 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under	52c	3,846$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	202	62.4%126 W · 76 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	78c	3,811$2,988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,988.26	199	46.7%93 W · 106 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over	64c	3,702$2,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,318.09	229	59.4%136 W · 93 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under	9c	3,618$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.75	88	17%15 W · 73 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Under	55c	3,575$1,954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,954.19	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under	59c	3,470$2,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,052	266	47%125 W · 141 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e6a…3f07backed Over	40c	3,430$1,372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,057.94	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.49per pick	26cpaid	+206.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83e0…8f21backed Over	39c	3,279$1,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,999.99	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	+5.6wins	+0.12per pick	36cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over	7c	3,194$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,970.55	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	25c	3,149$774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,374.55	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	29c	3,068$887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,181.01	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Over	66c	2,955$1,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,014.6	86	43%37 W · 49 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over	7c	2,888$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,685.94	176	25%44 W · 132 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Over	34c	2,832$967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,865.83	97	40.2%39 W · 58 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	65c	2,635$1,714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920.65	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under	1c	2,500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19de…e917backed Over	40c	2,500$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	+21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over	9c	2,222$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,022.22	146	12.3%18 W · 128 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…f217backed Over	31c	2,104$648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,455.81	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.23per pick	47cpaid	+63%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over	26c	2,100$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,553.98	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under	60c	2,070$1,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,251.76	282	29.4%83 W · 199 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over	8c	2,000$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,840	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under	49c	2,000$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$977.7	211	66.4%140 W · 71 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Under	51c	1,965$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under	73c	1,855$1,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,347.32	259	42.1%109 W · 150 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	52c	1,755$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$917.68	632	55.7%352 W · 280 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8762…cc57backed Over	50c	1,755$877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$877.42	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…3776backed Under	11c	1,574$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.88	47	17%8 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over	26c	1,510$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,117	102	36.3%37 W · 65 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under	71c	1,500$1,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,062	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	73cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a2b…57dcbacked Under	69c	1,446$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	66cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	48c	1,399$673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$726.77	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Over	44c	1,398$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$785.14	215	42.8%92 W · 123 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d19…2410backed Over	15c	1,333$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,133.33	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over	75c	1,333$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.25	175	69.1%121 W · 54 L	+14.4wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under	71c	1,300$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$929	311	56.6%176 W · 135 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	25c	1,264$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$952.65	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over	40c	1,252$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750.92	144	63.2%91 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Over	40c	1,250$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddaf…3de6backed Over	48c	1,235$593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$642.42	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+5.7wins	+0.18per pick	33cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over	26c	1,165$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$864.59	118	51.7%61 W · 57 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4efe…d987backed Over	40c	1,142$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$685.16	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc30f…b556backed Under	69c	1,133$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787.46	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over	17c	1,114$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.01	92	30.4%28 W · 64 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over	33c	1,114$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744.17	138	30.4%42 W · 96 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over	26c	1,092$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.79	349	24.4%85 W · 264 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over	13c	1,083$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$941.63	205	60%123 W · 82 L	+17.0wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+11%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Over	38c	1,053$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.63	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Under	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Over	40c	1,000$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$598	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	+6.2wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+17%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed Over	39c	1,000$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610	66	37.9%25 W · 41 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	34c	999.98$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660.77	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under	58c	919.4$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.25	200	44.5%89 W · 111 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under	51c	906.68$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.41	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over	60c	883.56$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under	50c	861.34$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.67	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	20c	852.4$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$678.25	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Over	45c	832.01$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.71	161	63.4%102 W · 59 L	+25.7wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	17c	831.99$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.16	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef87…e853backed Under	77c	809.67$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.02	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac2b…f419backed Under	59c	804.24$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.46	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	8c	761.75$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$699.98	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bbb…48f2backed Under	56c	761.7$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.26	87	58.6%51 W · 36 L	+5.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Over	3c	749.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$729.99	388	19.1%74 W · 314 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over	13c	740.74$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640.74	186	26.3%49 W · 137 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Over	27c	735.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.64	177	51.4%91 W · 86 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over	51c	700.45$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.24	347	31.1%108 W · 239 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Under	52c	700$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c3…7e69backed Over	29c	678.69$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$478.69	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5this page
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-2.5)United States won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event