Spread: United States (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c6647d179413fbb40f6a11afedfe4adfefcbafeecb640921c5fde93c02fe951

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: United Statesof United States, Paraguay
Resolved: Jun 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $579,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $609,760

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $579,166 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Paraguay	74c	135,153$99,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99,381.79	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed United States	9c	85,734$7,367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78,367.75	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed United States	17c	52,036$8,658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,378.39	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed United States	75c	26,294$19,635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,658.99	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked United States	31c	22,908$7,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,890.47	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb43…4201backed Paraguay	23c	12,947$2,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,913.25	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed United States	79c	12,571$9,992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,579.31	108	36.1%39 W · 69 L	+8.7wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Paraguay	20c	11,165$2,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,271.99	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Paraguay	35c	8,097$2,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,827.57	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed United States	8c	8,000$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,360	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5da9…f4c3backed United States	8c	6,231$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,731.14	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Paraguay	55c	5,888$3,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,238.39	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked United States	55c	5,614$3,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,515.34	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f67…a882backed Paraguay	57c	5,600$3,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,171.06	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Paraguay	7c	5,583$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.29	213	14.1%30 W · 183 L	+14.3wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+135.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed United States	9c	5,000$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,550	151	50.3%76 W · 75 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked United States	7c	5,000$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,649.96	176	25%44 W · 132 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed United States	9c	4,444$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,044.04	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed United States	29c	4,421$1,286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,135.13	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Paraguay	50c	4,380$2,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,203.62	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed United States	76c	4,308$3,292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,015.56	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Paraguay	55c	4,302$2,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,365.08	224	50.4%113 W · 111 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed United States	9c	4,000$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,640	159	37.7%60 W · 99 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked United States	46c	3,739$1,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,019.13	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…57e7backed United States	42c	3,571$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,071.43	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-4.9wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3fb9…8429backed Paraguay	33c	3,522$1,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150.74	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked United States	9c	3,333$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,033.03	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.2wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+94.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed United States	40c	3,167$1,268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,899.75	432	30.1%130 W · 302 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebc3…68e5backed United States	8c	3,106$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,857.75	57	21.1%12 W · 45 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6888…a61cbacked United States	8c	2,985$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,746.32	144	30.6%44 W · 100 L	+10.5wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed United States	77c	2,688$2,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$606.07	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Paraguay	37c	2,651$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.1	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Paraguay	48c	2,647$1,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,270.65	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Paraguay	63c	2,545$1,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,606.68	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed United States	40c	2,268$908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,359.98	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed United States	9c	2,222$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,022.22	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Paraguay	35c	2,148$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.81	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked United States	79c	2,022$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.37	101	60.4%61 W · 40 L	+11.2wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+22%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Paraguay	14c	1,999$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.94	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Paraguay	76c	1,930$1,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,460.82	108	34.3%37 W · 71 L	-19.9wins	-0.18per pick	53cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Paraguay	21c	1,905$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed United States	8c	1,863$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,712.61	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed United States	80c	1,806$1,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.61	280	42.1%118 W · 162 L	-16.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Paraguay	12c	1,685$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.95	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed United States	18c	1,612$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,315.72	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked United States	31c	1,606$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,115.86	92	30.4%28 W · 64 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed United States	45c	1,605$716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$889.5	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed United States	8c	1,520$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,398.05	76	32.9%25 W · 51 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Paraguay	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	95	2.1%2 W · 93 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked United States	8c	1,300$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,196	168	31.5%53 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed United States	64c	1,280$815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.89	110	65.5%72 W · 38 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked United States	53c	1,276$672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$603.59	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3601…cd3fbacked United States	45c	1,276$574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$701.59	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed United States	8c	1,250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150	363	49.3%179 W · 184 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68c1…caf8backed United States	8c	1,155$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,062.72	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Paraguay	21c	1,059$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.44	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed Paraguay	20c	1,006$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	84	31%26 W · 58 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd44…e3c9backed Paraguay	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce37…a2d6backed United States	8c	1,000$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed United States	44c	999.99$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560	470	32.8%154 W · 316 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed United States	44c	999.42$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.68	214	29.4%63 W · 151 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x630d…875abacked Paraguay	27c	981.66$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.14	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed United States	38c	976.38$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.65	138	30.4%42 W · 96 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed United States	44c	812.51$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.04	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bf…8e4bbacked Paraguay	25c	773.44$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.36	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-4.1wins	-0.17per pick	33cpaid	-65.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked Paraguay	14c	767.74$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.07	40	30%12 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Paraguay	31c	762.48$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.51	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cf7…cb5bbacked United States	80c	750$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	73cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Paraguay	78c	710.76$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.88	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Paraguay	65c	668.27$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.87	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec7c…9c92backed United States	8c	625$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+78.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed United States	63c	610.57$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.78	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	+6.2wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+17%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda31…8e56backed United States	9c	600$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	+112.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Paraguay	54c	559.97$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.38	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed United States	8c	550$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.12	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Paraguay	40c	546.19$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.26	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa3b…dcdabacked United States	44c	538.46$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.49	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3675…1c93backed Paraguay	56c	535.82$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaced…e23abacked United States	19c	515.3$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.64	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd339…9d25backed United States	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-26%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Paraguay	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2321…2094backed United States	11c	500$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.19	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+2.2wins	+0.73per pick	27cpaid	+429.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Paraguay	49c	494.86$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.47	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed United States	8c	487.92$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61cf…69b8backed United States	67c	463.73$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.73	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	62cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb176…567cbacked Paraguay	3c	450.55$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.47	130	50%65 W · 65 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed United States	45c	441.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.33	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Paraguay	79c	436.67$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.11	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Paraguay	73c	410.96$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	145	68.3%99 W · 46 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked United States	8c	407$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.44	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked United States	46c	403.23$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.74	278	45.7%127 W · 151 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed United States	31c	400$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276	524	55%288 W · 236 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xedf2…326abacked United States	45c	400$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	117	49.6%58 W · 59 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Paraguay	69c	395.53$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.07	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked United States	45c	385.08$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.2	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Paraguay	58c	353.25$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.14	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked United States	8c	347.63$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.82	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed United States	32c	343.75$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.75	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Paraguay	22c	340.91$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	116	31.9%37 W · 79 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1458…a15ebacked United States	30c	338.59$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.59	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.70per pick	30cpaid	+238.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: United States (-2.5)this page
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: United States (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event