United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78eebb2d22f052a5407587008ad4cadeb7c6a066ab0d46658bd7577824d4a0b2

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $78,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $96,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,658 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	38c	18,082$6,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,865.32	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over	62c	11,200$6,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,255.83	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	62c	4,627$2,882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,744.93	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Under	13c	4,599$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	38c	3,685$1,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,393.51	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	27c	3,573$973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$972.59	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Over	62c	3,149$1,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,196.62	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over	62c	3,060$1,897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,162.8	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under	34c	2,050$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697	351	50.7%178 W · 173 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under	38c	1,900$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722	103	35%36 W · 67 L	-9.6wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	38c	1,820$691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691.41	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over	62c	1,500$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.92	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Under	34c	1,464$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.76	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under	34c	882.35$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x100a…0919backed Under	34c	842$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.28	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over	62c	806.45$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.45	379	55.7%211 W · 168 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over	62c	790.24$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.29	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under	38c	763.36$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.08	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4de…3920backed Under	38c	763.36$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.08	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5dd0…9192backed Under	33c	606.06$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	39c	589.76$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.01	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	61c	513.91$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.86	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Under	34c	500$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2131…7325backed Under	34c	500$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-3.2wins	-0.30per pick	39cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over	61c	455.28$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.56	92	37%34 W · 58 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over	67c	447.88$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.88	118	51.7%61 W · 57 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71cbbacked Over	62c	404.61$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.75	69	42%29 W · 40 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Over	61c	399.98$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.99	311	56.6%176 W · 135 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Over	61c	371.98$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.07	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	33c	345.21$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.92	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Over	64c	329.99$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.8	108	55.6%60 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Under	33c	304.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.35	102	47.1%48 W · 54 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b28…0ed2backed Under	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80b0…7a12backed Under	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Over	62c	250$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95	116	19.8%23 W · 93 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	62c	234.81$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.38	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed Under	22c	223.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.64	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	39c	207.62$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.47	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under	38c	200$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	823	48.8%402 W · 421 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	37c	169.84$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.24	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0542…3ec5backed Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a29…9ddebacked Over	62c	162$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.56	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.3wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Over	62c	161.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	120	60.8%73 W · 47 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34b8…780ebacked Over	62c	161.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b11…2976backed Over	62c	161.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	179	62.6%112 W · 67 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f9…4bd4backed Over	62c	161.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0c0…a779backed Over	62c	157.97$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.03	95	58.9%56 W · 39 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over	62c	150.73$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.28	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Under	37c	136.78$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.61	90	47.8%43 W · 47 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over	61c	136.67$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.3	560	22.7%127 W · 433 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	323	56%181 W · 142 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Over	62c	120.97$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.97	97	43.3%42 W · 55 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Over	62c	120.97$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.97	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Under	14c	119.33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.57	197	34.5%68 W · 129 L	-12.9wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9564…d89abacked Under	10c	101$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+4.9wins	+0.22per pick	32cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	243	44.4%108 W · 135 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	199	58.3%116 W · 83 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadb8…c3f0backed Over	62c	96.77$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.77	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	70c	94.95$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.49	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb83e…9f42backed Over	62c	85.63$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.54	52	71.2%37 W · 15 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb221…a639backed Under	39c	83.08$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	125	20%25 W · 100 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cff…468bbacked Over	62c	80.65$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.65	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over	63c	79.71$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.71	120	28.3%34 W · 86 L	-10.0wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9276…0406backed Over	62c	79.03$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.03	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a65…5864backed Over	63c	77.78$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.78	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…4c7abacked Under	39c	76.92$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	187	36.4%68 W · 119 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa4…e8e1backed Under	41c	73.17$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	114	37.7%43 W · 71 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f6…cca0backed Over	62c	72.58$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.58	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	63c	72.3$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.63	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93d8…c245backed Under	36c	69.44$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Over	62c	69.27$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.32	258	57%147 W · 111 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4010…eacfbacked Over	62c	64.52$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.52	94	59.6%56 W · 38 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfff9…ec5dbacked Over	62c	63.79$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.24	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over	61c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.4	270	28.9%78 W · 192 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Under	38c	60$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	139	33.8%47 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Over	62c	59.68$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.68	160	32.5%52 W · 108 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc164…55e7backed Over	62c	59.68$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.68	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb51…8292backed Over	62c	56.45$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.45	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Under	41c	56.3$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.27	219	58.9%129 W · 90 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb055…1b0bbacked Over	62c	52.66$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.01	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	64cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Under	38c	52.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	85	51.8%44 W · 41 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…e6d8backed Under	39c	51.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over	63c	50.79$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.79	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc54…db0ebacked Over	62c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	72c	48.54$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.55	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa72…dc07backed Over	62c	48.39$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.39	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6f…8579backed Over	63c	47.62$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.62	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Under	36c	42.9$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.44	117	45.3%53 W · 64 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba9…c25fbacked Over	62c	40.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf254…3a54backed Over	62c	40.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d46…779cbacked Over	62c	40.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-4.9wins	-0.26per pick	47cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa809…4011backed Over	62c	40.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.6wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4621…9ba4backed Over	62c	40.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.21per pick	68cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4206…f874backed Over	62c	40.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	82	70.7%58 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf987…6ea7backed Over	62c	40.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over	61c	39.25$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.31	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under	41c	33.32$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.66	242	57.9%140 W · 102 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b61…c9ccbacked Over	62c	33.29$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.65	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d90…3c41backed Over	62c	32.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.26	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4420…fc1fbacked Over	62c	32.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.26	67	53.7%36 W · 31 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-2.5)United States won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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