TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,721
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,721 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c537.61$150 inWon+$387.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5090…9e15backed Yes23c222.13$50 inWon+$172.136918.8%13 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed No68c220$150 inLost-$149.64839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes33c190$62 inWon+$12860752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Yes33c190$63 inWon+$127.36549.2%32 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No77c175.97$135 inLost-$134.912,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No77c168$129 inLost-$128.682,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No78c156.83$122 inLost-$121.713,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5522…c807backed No79c69.99$55 inLost-$55.2916056.3%90 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes23c57.64$13 inWon+$44.2280225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes23c50$12 inWon+$38.52,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes42c48.13$20 inWon+$28.139135.2%32 W · 59 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+50.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fcb…cc09backed Yes30c33.5$10 inWon+$23.53321.2%7 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed No61c32.79$20 inLost-$2023858%138 W · 100 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc3…973fbacked No65c30.92$20 inLost-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked No61c27.2$17 inLost-$16.5943460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked No78c17.98$14 inLost-$13.9813061.5%80 W · 50 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+100.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.