United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdb7c4c168e2946b9ec2ea6af346b571b794670c7fb771dfa8c3bae1eca45fbf

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,480,449
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,663,392

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,480,449 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 931 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	38c	297,473$114,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183,390.04	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	62c	217,291$134,721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134,720.61	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	48c	120,141$57,751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57,750.67	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under	51c	120,000$61,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61,199.95	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Over	38c	111,234$42,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69,077.52	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over	39c	99,999$39,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60,999.39	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4064…f741backed Under	62c	65,000$40,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,300	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under	61c	62,547$38,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38,153.81	320	31.6%101 W · 219 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over	39c	60,000$23,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,750	210	29%61 W · 149 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under	62c	50,000$31,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,000	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a4f…3dc3backed Under	63c	46,234$29,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,127.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Under	61c	41,000$25,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,010	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	39c	40,000$15,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,199.95	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Under	60c	37,824$22,804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,804.11	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under	45c	19,417$8,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,749.59	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	45c	17,787$7,942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,844.93	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	47c	14,932$6,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,937.04	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under	60c	12,913$7,748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,747.81	163	31.9%52 W · 111 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under	41c	12,052$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab2…b0efbacked Under	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over	39c	10,000$3,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,099.97	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	61c	9,990$6,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,103.29	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over	39c	8,600$3,354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,246.08	83	53%44 W · 39 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over	40c	7,500$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,500	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	61c	7,000$4,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,289.99	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over	39c	6,700$2,613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,087	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under	8c	6,226$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.64	109	42.2%46 W · 63 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed Over	39c	6,154$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,753.85	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under	62c	6,000$3,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,720	224	51.3%115 W · 109 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over	61c	5,845$3,566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,279.65	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	60c	5,589$3,341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,341.31	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Over	37c	5,405$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,405.41	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over	38c	5,263$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,263.16	214	42.5%91 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Under	61c	5,206$3,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,175.66	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Over	40c	5,151$2,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,090.7	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Over	39c	5,141$2,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,136.03	142	31.7%45 W · 97 L	-13.4wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	39c	4,667$1,802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,865.32	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Over	38c	4,479$1,717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,762.26	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over	39c	4,050$1,579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,470.5	107	44.9%48 W · 59 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Under	61c	4,033$2,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,460.08	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under	20c	3,983$788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.2	362	35.9%130 W · 232 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	79c	3,927$3,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840.66	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under	61c	3,866$2,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,358	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-8.3wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under	37c	3,852$1,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,421.19	282	29.4%83 W · 199 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	38c	3,691$1,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,276.92	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e6…82debacked Under	38c	3,632$1,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,390.19	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-4.4wins	-0.22per pick	52cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	63c	3,513$2,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,197.95	632	55.7%352 W · 280 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae3…a161backed Under	61c	3,279$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under	61c	3,279$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.96	86	43%37 W · 49 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf44…71a4backed Over	50c	3,200$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,600	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	+3.8wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over	41c	3,142$1,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,853.79	82	50%41 W · 41 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed Over	38c	3,045$1,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,878.69	177	45.8%81 W · 96 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Over	60c	3,001$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200.83	205	47.3%97 W · 108 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeef8…8b40backed Under	61c	3,000$1,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,830	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Under	17c	3,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.98	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4e9…1e89backed Under	61c	3,000$1,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,829.88	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over	38c	2,858$1,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,771.89	146	20.5%30 W · 116 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over	64c	2,664$1,699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$965.21	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f67…a882backed Under	41c	2,631$1,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,086.45	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f4b…bb93backed Over	80c	2,600$2,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0c…d4dbbacked Over	39c	2,564$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,564.1	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	61c	2,544$1,542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,542.39	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Under	61c	2,500$1,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,525	132	59.1%78 W · 54 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Under	60c	2,500$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-7.0wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over	65c	2,434$1,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$841.26	349	64.5%225 W · 124 L	+73.5wins	+0.21per pick	43cpaid	+123.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under	42c	2,381$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9efc…cce5backed Over	42c	2,381$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380.95	104	58.7%61 W · 43 L	+7.7wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over	39c	2,300$897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,403	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1312…e932backed Under	1c	2,144$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.44	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over	39c	2,051$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,251.28	79	43%34 W · 45 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over	38c	2,000$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,240	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf88f…c334backed Under	62c	2,000$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,240	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	62c	1,992$1,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,235.49	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under	61c	1,964$1,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,194.62	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Over	75c	1,942$1,457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.55	215	42.8%92 W · 123 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Under	61c	1,905$1,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,162.22	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over	61c	1,831$1,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.86	300	54%162 W · 138 L	+17.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Over	52c	1,827$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$877.4	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under	58c	1,750$1,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,014.92	137	62.8%86 W · 51 L	+8.7wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x962e…3c2dbacked Under	46c	1,746$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807.98	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	61c	1,744$1,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over	38c	1,731$658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,073.22	294	49%144 W · 150 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	38c	1,711$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,060.53	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6732…d7f0backed Under	61c	1,700$1,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,036.99	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over	61c	1,639$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.34	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over	52c	1,628$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$777.78	101	57.4%58 W · 43 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Over	40c	1,500$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	61c	1,483$905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$904.9	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	60c	1,479$886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$593.15	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6a…3f07backed Over	38c	1,398$531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$866.96	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.49per pick	26cpaid	+206.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Under	60c	1,390$834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$834.09	163	35%57 W · 106 L	-9.1wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	61c	1,383$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.97	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over	39c	1,360$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$824.5	217	47.9%104 W · 113 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5a2a…ce84backed Over	77c	1,293$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.14	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Under	62c	1,290$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	39c	1,282$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.05	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c3…dbc7backed Over	39c	1,282$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.05	94	39.4%37 W · 57 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f48…a145backed Over	39c	1,277$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$778.72	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	71c	1,272$907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.78	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Over	62c	1,272$789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483.29	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-2.5)United States won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event