WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3be569dff9425fca8fcef13531cfc419380ff43282773f8f85f57731f65d7096
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Washington Mystics, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 5,799$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.52 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 3,125$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.96 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 2,339$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.46 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Washington Mystics | 1c | 1,914$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 62c | 1,826$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.33 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Washington Mystics | 55c | 974.32$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 945.04$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.42 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 43c | 424.8$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.46 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 408.31$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.74 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Seattle Storm | 55c | 285$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 225$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…643cbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 210.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Washington Mystics | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Seattle Storm | 55c | 143.13$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 133.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 103.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 100.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 88.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Seattle Storm | 44c | 75.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Washington Mystics | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847b…274cbacked Washington Mystics | 56c | 59.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Seattle Storm | 44c | 40.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Seattle Storm | 56c | 39.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5079…e560backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Seattle Storm | 44c | 24.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Seattle Storm | 44c | 23.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)Seattle Storm won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 159.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 160.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.