WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21a9987ad5e992fc0035c56923745d6a300911bb198a38f488e5d885728262d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Washington Mystics, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 2,549$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.02 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 2,133$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.17 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 1,497$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.47 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 972$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.72 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 728.56$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.17 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 307.25$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.37 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Seattle Storm | 62c | 257.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Washington Mystics | 39c | 131.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Seattle Storm | 56c | 95.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Seattle Storm won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 159.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 160.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.