WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x379ab823037c414787b64cf61a6672368c5fca5a236a1672286731b1f1ee49c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 49c | 110,547$54,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,465.33 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 81,166$38,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,018.1 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 53c | 39,995$21,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,197.35 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 15,126$8,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,016.78 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 8,698$4,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,522.95 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…5136backed Under | 51c | 6,221$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 50c | 5,825$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Under | 53c | 5,700$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 5,616$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.25 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Over | 50c | 5,240$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.6 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 50c | 4,894$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.79 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 53c | 4,646$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.64 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 52c | 3,200$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 3,054$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.42 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 53c | 2,900$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Over | 51c | 1,927$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.1 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Under | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Under | 49c | 1,010$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 50c | 895.7$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.85 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Under | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 649.86$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.78 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Under | 32c | 529.22$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 53c | 521.13$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.2 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 53c | 486$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.58 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 430.01$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.08 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 53c | 337.66$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.96 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 53c | 273$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.69 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…afd7backed Under | 51c | 237.25$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 53c | 187.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.37 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 53c | 175.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 48c | 175$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 50c | 138.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.08 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 53c | 116.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 49c | 112.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…a212backed Over | 49c | 110.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 40c | 108$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 53c | 95.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 72c | 94.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 53c | 74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 53c | 65.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 143 | 50.3%72 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 53c | 59.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f3…90f2backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 54c | 47.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f0…8722backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…9f01backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 53c | 28.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Over | 78c | 27.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 53c | 27.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)Seattle Storm won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 159.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 160.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.