TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dallas Wingsof Las Vegas Aces, Dallas Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,639 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Dallas Wings47c25,000$11,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,249.982763%17 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Las Vegas Aces53c23,491$12,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,416.786848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Dallas Wings47c8,008$3,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,251.8889349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Las Vegas Aces53c6,437$3,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,411.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Dallas Wings47c6,382$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.463351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Las Vegas Aces53c6,321$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3501650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Dallas Wings48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.973647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Las Vegas Aces53c3,546$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.512142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Dallas Wings48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.96875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+67.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7286…d5d0backed Las Vegas Aces56c1,497$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.321533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces53c1,432$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.131,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Las Vegas Aces53c1,066$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Dallas Wings48c1,030$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.545141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Las Vegas Aces52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Dallas Wings46c848.67$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.284669.6%32 W · 14 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+44.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Las Vegas Aces52c825$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4292958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Dallas Wings48c754.16$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.162157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Las Vegas Aces56c709.35$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12a2…c60dbacked Las Vegas Aces59c678.15$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Las Vegas Aces52c604.75$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.47944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46d1…8d0ebacked Las Vegas Aces56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings51c525.77$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.911,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Las Vegas Aces52c452.21$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.1532743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Dallas Wings46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.78475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee6…fe26backed Dallas Wings48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+64.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Las Vegas Aces52c363.9$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.236338.1%24 W · 39 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Las Vegas Aces52c300.85$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4434448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Las Vegas Aces53c300.5$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.273450%17 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Las Vegas Aces57c300$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17011840.7%48 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Las Vegas Aces52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked Las Vegas Aces52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Las Vegas Aces52c288.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8314452.8%76 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings51c259.58$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2699548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Las Vegas Aces52c248$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.966654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Las Vegas Aces53c240$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.216745.5%76 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Las Vegas Aces53c228.4$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Las Vegas Aces52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Las Vegas Aces52c190.47$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.046854.4%37 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Las Vegas Aces53c166.38$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.524146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Dallas Wings48c102.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.345100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+115.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Las Vegas Aces52c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Las Vegas Aces51c99.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.871136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Las Vegas Aces53c99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4721150.2%106 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Las Vegas Aces53c94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.826145.9%28 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Las Vegas Aces52c89.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8813143.5%57 W · 74 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Las Vegas Aces53c85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.051172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Las Vegas Aces53c78$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.341070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe31d…e7a4backed Las Vegas Aces52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a05…7a7bbacked Dallas Wings48c76.62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+130.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Dallas Wings48c75.42$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.223756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Las Vegas Aces57c70.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.422927.6%8 W · 21 L-7.0wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Dallas Wings47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7313256.1%74 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked Dallas Wings46c58.02$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed Las Vegas Aces57c57.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c34…7a99backed Las Vegas Aces52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Dallas Wings45c55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.36650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Las Vegas Aces54c54.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.393636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Dallas Wings44c54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.242955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…d3fdbacked Las Vegas Aces53c54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15db…1da8backed Las Vegas Aces57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Dallas Wings49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Las Vegas Aces40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed Las Vegas Aces53c46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.38520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-57.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x412a…a183backed Las Vegas Aces52c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x741a…b692backed Las Vegas Aces52c44.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Dallas Wings47c43.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1185158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Dallas Wings49c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.911662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7307…b257backed Dallas Wings49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e5a…724cbacked Las Vegas Aces52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x424c…82b5backed Las Vegas Aces53c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.081266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…2548backed Dallas Wings49c31.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+132.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Dallas Wings44c30.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8361547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e63…6fbbbacked Las Vegas Aces52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b41…cebabacked Las Vegas Aces52c28.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05b9…6b86backed Dallas Wings47c27.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.55875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+70.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5079…e560backed Las Vegas Aces53c25.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Las Vegas Aces57c25.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.37345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70b6…f93fbacked Las Vegas Aces52c24.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked Las Vegas Aces53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e35…a58fbacked Las Vegas Aces57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fd6…1733backed Dallas Wings59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.25850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Las Vegas Aces54c18.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.041030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.