WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfceb5c616991185b4935741adcf197a36fbfdc0003b5ba14090e38a3e2cf4faf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Las Vegas Aces, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 15,700$7,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,715.92 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 13,043$6,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,993.35 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 12,934$6,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,583.85 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 7,800$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.83 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 5,525$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.85 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 3,417$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 2,650$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.5 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 2,181$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.1 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…773fbacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 1,651$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.69 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 1,500$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.15 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 1,100$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 1,058$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.6 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 975$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.92 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 967.96$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.34 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 925.9$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.89 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 775.14$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.08 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 708.57$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.46 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 399.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 389.67$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.53 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 343.24$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.66 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 303$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 301.84$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Las Vegas Aces | 18c | 295$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 281.84$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.56 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 254.54$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 224.18$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 209.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 195$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 192.77$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 192.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 189$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 142.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 139.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…88e8backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 139.07$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 121$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…2548backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 96.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +132.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 86.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 80.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 68.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9947…925dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 60.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 58.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 58.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 52.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 47.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…86debacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 47.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c42…93bfbacked Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…064abacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 41.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 40.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 31.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a8…8a98backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 29.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 25.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8d70backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 22.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…6b86backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 21.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae40…9edabacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 21.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.