TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xacb3…064a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-50.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.49
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.31
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.62
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$152.62
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+136.6%+$60.68
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+164%+$48.87
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.79
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.44
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.77
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-61.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+58.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.42
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32.17
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$35.49
All 4 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$24.41
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$21.24
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.12
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-5.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.79
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.68
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensikbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$90.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$41.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Luis Felipe Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.