Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Gea

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eb246df5aad37caf27ca2c10f96d243ad4e30702a974fa4bcd096526ba93782

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Karen Khachanovof Karen Khachanov, Arthur Gea
Resolved: May 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $264,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $304,868

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,842 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Arthur Gea	8c	27,368$2,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,279.66	8,828	36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L	-193.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Arthur Gea	18c	21,204$3,817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,816.68	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1491…11d3backed Arthur Gea	11c	12,444$1,383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,383.36	161	33.5%54 W · 107 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3f8…4682backed Arthur Gea	13c	7,139$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd1…1eb0backed Arthur Gea	2c	6,400$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.38	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-69.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Arthur Gea	12c	4,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	477	28.1%134 W · 343 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Arthur Gea	9c	3,779$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.79	4,185	44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L	+14.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Arthur Gea	14c	3,430$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.19	629	56.9%358 W · 271 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Arthur Gea	11c	3,086$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334	1,010	39.2%396 W · 614 L	-23.0wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Arthur Gea	9c	2,858$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	127	22%28 W · 99 L	+9.9wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Arthur Gea	19c	2,706$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.79	788	40.6%320 W · 468 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Arthur Gea	19c	2,664$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.13	689	35%241 W · 448 L	+9.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Arthur Gea	6c	2,477$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	54	25.9%14 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Karen Khachanov	80c	1,825$1,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.04	567	57.1%324 W · 243 L	+13.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Arthur Gea	18c	1,667$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.57	2,174	36.9%802 W · 1,372 L	+39.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c8…3c52backed Arthur Gea	20c	1,200$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	202	34.2%69 W · 133 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Arthur Gea	11c	1,191$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131	573	21.8%125 W · 448 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Arthur Gea	10c	1,177$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.52	1,111	45.3%503 W · 608 L	-35.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Arthur Gea	12c	1,063$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.71	717	25.2%181 W · 536 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda2b…85febacked Arthur Gea	19c	1,053$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	104	23.1%24 W · 80 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Karen Khachanov	79c	1,023$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.92	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Arthur Gea	6c	1,017$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.36	707	29.1%206 W · 501 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4340…363dbacked Arthur Gea	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	184	45.7%84 W · 100 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Arthur Gea	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	440	18.9%83 W · 357 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Arthur Gea	18c	999.98$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	856	34.2%293 W · 563 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Arthur Gea	13c	972.22$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	75	12%9 W · 66 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Arthur Gea	8c	951.6$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.13	392	38.8%152 W · 240 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf203…bffabacked Arthur Gea	14c	884.93$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.89	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	12cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Arthur Gea	7c	718$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	6,599	50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L	+259.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Arthur Gea	14c	703.12$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.89	3,605	42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L	-43.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc30b…1b6dbacked Arthur Gea	19c	617.11$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.25	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Arthur Gea	17c	570$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.9	79	34.2%27 W · 52 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Arthur Gea	11c	533.81$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.42	3,677	54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L	+107.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Arthur Gea	20c	495.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	5,261	28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L	-19.4wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Arthur Gea	14c	471.57$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.08	5,350	56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L	+228.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Arthur Gea	13c	471.27$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.15	4,703	49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L	+166.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Arthur Gea	7c	448.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	146	13.7%20 W · 126 L	-10.0wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Arthur Gea	7c	446.93$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.96	334	9.6%32 W · 302 L	-16.7wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb442…833ebacked Arthur Gea	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	103	52.4%54 W · 49 L	+5.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Arthur Gea	20c	410.45$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.09	231	59.3%137 W · 94 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Arthur Gea	11c	410$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.9	1,228	41.1%505 W · 723 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Arthur Gea	20c	388.61$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.72	7,049	39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L	-20.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Arthur Gea	20c	337.82$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.87	3,901	50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L	-13.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Arthur Gea	8c	332.06$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.56	678	38.3%260 W · 418 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Arthur Gea	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	329	35%115 W · 214 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Arthur Gea	20c	287.8$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.56	2,274	58%1,318 W · 956 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Arthur Gea	18c	270$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.6	546	34.4%188 W · 358 L	-15.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Arthur Gea	9c	240$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	213	17.4%37 W · 176 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Arthur Gea	13c	223.87$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	2,343	51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L	+95.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb3…064abacked Arthur Gea	19c	206.05$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84e5…3fedbacked Karen Khachanov	80c	184.5$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.9	93	67.7%63 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Arthur Gea	12c	175.18$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.39	2,044	53.8%1,100 W · 944 L	+61.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cf…f719backed Arthur Gea	18c	167.28$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	84	42.9%36 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Arthur Gea	19c	157.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,504	35.1%528 W · 976 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5637…8692backed Arthur Gea	16c	148.33$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.3	97	61.9%60 W · 37 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dab…e5c0backed Arthur Gea	9c	143.07$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.43	160	28.8%46 W · 114 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0007…3545backed Arthur Gea	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Karen Khachanov	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	509	58%295 W · 214 L	-26.5wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Karen Khachanov	80c	121$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.2	967	55.3%535 W · 432 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6775…fc91backed Arthur Gea	10c	112.37$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Arthur Gea	9c	112$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	1,532	40.7%624 W · 908 L	-48.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Arthur Gea	19c	110.83$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.06	7,724	47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L	+41.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3191…e118backed Arthur Gea	15c	107.33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Arthur Gea	14c	104.32$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.15	6,786	48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L	+56.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Arthur Gea	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	457	44.2%202 W · 255 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76e9…b7dbbacked Arthur Gea	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	104	45.2%47 W · 57 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe391…eea1backed Arthur Gea	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	176	47.2%83 W · 93 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Arthur Gea	20c	90$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	1,541	49.2%758 W · 783 L	+16.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…c67cbacked Arthur Gea	19c	83.63$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.89	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-30%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Arthur Gea	20c	68$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	2,247	42.7%960 W · 1,287 L	+33.4wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed Karen Khachanov	80c	62.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	382	62.3%238 W · 144 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Arthur Gea	20c	60$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	474	47.9%227 W · 247 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Karen Khachanov	80c	60$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.2	83	65.1%54 W · 29 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…9a00backed Karen Khachanov	79c	50.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.63	201	58.7%118 W · 83 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Karen Khachanov	79c	50.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.63	885	60.2%533 W · 352 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Arthur Gea	21c	47.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	1,489	32.6%486 W · 1,003 L	+22.2wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d75…26fbbacked Karen Khachanov	79c	37.97$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.97	163	58.9%96 W · 67 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed Karen Khachanov	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	192	51.6%99 W · 93 L	-14.6wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Karen Khachanov	80c	16.36$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.27	1,421	55%782 W · 639 L	+23.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Karen Khachanov	79c	13.92$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.92	215	33.5%72 W · 143 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x355a…98a6backed Karen Khachanov	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Geathis page
Karen Khachanov vs. Arthur Gea: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
Karen Khachanov vs. Arthur Gea: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
Khachanov vs. Gea: Match O/U 40.5Under won
Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs GeaKhachanov won
Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Gea (+1.5)Khachanov won
Set Handicap: Khachanov (-2.5) vs Gea (+2.5)Khachanov won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Gea

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event