MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fb7cfbfdb238cdaa39ebb2ff0b0ce0ad32540f6d112be7b4da0b05625468a11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Kansas City Royals, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.95 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,607.84 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 14,986$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,399.6 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 9,506$4,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,657.84 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 8,097$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.11 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 7,575$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,787.52 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 6,715$3,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.52 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 4,245$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.6 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835e…4729backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,932$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,822$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.29 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 1,692$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.31 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed Kansas City Royals | 3c | 1,661$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,478$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.7 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,356$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.44 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 79c | 1,307$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.01 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Kansas City Royals | 2c | 1,255$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 1,158$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,125$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.92 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Kansas City Royals | 1c | 1,124$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Kansas City Royals | 10c | 1,005$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 964.33$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.93 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…dccabacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 795.41$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.89 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 754.97$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.49 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 646$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.54 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 547$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.03 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 507$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.43 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Kansas City Royals | 17c | 407.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Kansas City Royals | 12c | 388$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 10c | 351.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 24c | 323.42$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 319.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.59 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…4959backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 311.54$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 309$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…09ffbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 288.06$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.15 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 287$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.76 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 259.88$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.34 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 14c | 258.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 9c | 254.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 249.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 221.55$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb197…4e02backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 221$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 216$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Kansas City Royals | 7c | 198.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 197$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Texas Rangers | 77c | 195$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…0a15backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 167.8$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals | 11c | 167.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 144.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 137.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Texas Rangers | 75c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48e…acf3backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 204 | 55.4%113 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 261 | 48.3%126 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 767 | 52.3%401 W · 366 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b0…b2eebacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 69.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3785…f577backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 68.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3339…3492backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…1d79backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f3…c5c2backed Kansas City Royals | 31c | 64.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…82b5backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 58.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kansas City Royals | 20c | 58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Texas Rangers | 71c | 54.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 51.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 49.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.