TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3339…3492

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
288
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT18253.8%98 W · 84 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 182 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.65
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$23.97
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.37
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.52
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$21.32
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.04
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.21
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.04
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$45.03
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankeesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.46
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.32
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.84
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$31.68
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.61
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$39.96
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$39.96
Showing 25 of 182 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+517.8%+$183.99
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.3
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.44
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$46.08
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$13.92
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.12
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$22.8
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.07
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.71
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.31
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$24.78
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+181.8%+$25.16
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$10.23
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.77
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$96.32
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.12
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.76
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 1 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.86
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$21.2
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$28.98
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.68
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.86
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.3
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$47.05
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.86
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+138.3%+$73.71
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.02
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.59
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+203.9%+$61.06
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$56
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.95
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.85
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$17.19
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+94.5%+$126.8
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.79
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$43.2
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Koprivabacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+132.7%+$46.76
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wangbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$63.31
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.07
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutetbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+95.6%+$142.23
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$29.81
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$4.66
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$12.91
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.76
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.52
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.28
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.44
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$32.59
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14.56
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.44
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+216.2%+$26.4
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$26.45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+348.8%+$101.81
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.86
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.48
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$27.72
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.67
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+30%+$7.84
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.23
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$16.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.