Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c98d654f96d08e15842fb05f34ee368600ca3ddcde4f9c87c0bec66edf136c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 14,465$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.74 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Yes | 11c | 14,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 6c | 3,936$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.16 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0715…85e6backed Yes | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be9…47e1backed Yes | 6c | 3,208$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.49 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,415$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…5648backed Yes | 8c | 1,191$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 6c | 1,167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…f64fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,072$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 6c | 1,059$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd2…8e36backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 10c | 813.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…64a1backed Yes | 7c | 771$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 177 | 32.2%57 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8a…112bbacked Yes | 10c | 599.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 81 | 17.3%14 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…fb07backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 9c | 556.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 7c | 547.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 6c | 516.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cf…4228backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e3…2cf4backed Yes | 6c | 498$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…e35ebacked Yes | 11c | 467.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ead…2edfbacked Yes | 6c | 464.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 14.9%18 W · 103 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa4…02bdbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 5c | 451.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6785…98c3backed Yes | 6c | 450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes | 5c | 430.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 209 | 11%23 W · 186 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…cafbbacked Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…2ff1backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 15.8%19 W · 101 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…f2aabacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…233cbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…9788backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 9c | 322.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…e684backed Yes | 6c | 319.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3d…5941backed Yes | 11c | 307.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f3…0fc5backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3339…3492backed Yes | 6c | 254$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…4869backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…5f3fbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…0c6fbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 8.5%6 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 6c | 242.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb6…223cbacked Yes | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e88…697dbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1706…3eb7backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…8f39backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 7c | 222.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 6c | 208.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…71e6backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 195 | 20%39 W · 156 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…7a89backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…367cbacked Yes | 8c | 183.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…7443backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1d…c957backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…412fbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 9c | 132$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…fe73backed Yes | 11c | 114.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8157…400abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…b499backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 203 | 40.4%82 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45eb…f2dfbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…3034backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.