Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20df0e12a20e18f72e2f7bad531ce57822bad040844fc405bf1bf960593b6389
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 22,541$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…d4b1backed Yes | 5c | 10,870$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0715…85e6backed Yes | 4c | 4,285$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 3c | 3,532$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 4c | 3,351$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.03 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 3c | 2,763$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 5c | 2,222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8a…112bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 81 | 17.3%14 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,190$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 5c | 2,183$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…2ff1backed Yes | 5c | 2,179$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 15.8%19 W · 101 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b77…b4e1backed Yes | 5c | 2,106$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a3…2349backed Yes | 5c | 1,563$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…beb0backed Yes | 6c | 1,459$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6d…cc54backed Yes | 4c | 1,318$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…62a0backed Yes | 2c | 1,135$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,098$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 15.2%26 W · 145 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…e64cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,047$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 4c | 1,009$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x053f…5cf6backed Yes | 5c | 960.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 4c | 744.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 4c | 743.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 3c | 658.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Yes | 5c | 652.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 231 | 24.7%57 W · 174 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3d…5941backed Yes | 4c | 493.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a2…2868backed Yes | 5c | 478.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaed…bc74backed Yes | 5c | 455.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…cafbbacked Yes | 5c | 434.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3f…7c06backed Yes | 5c | 434.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…e7fbbacked Yes | 5c | 434.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 5c | 425.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…cdd2backed Yes | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5b97backed Yes | 3c | 400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 4c | 382.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…ebb8backed Yes | 5c | 354.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 3c | 345.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 5c | 336.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f8…7fd1backed Yes | 5c | 304.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 4c | 284.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…0f20backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes | 5c | 250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 103 | 14.6%15 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…77f0backed Yes | 4c | 244.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e5…3c00backed Yes | 5c | 213.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c21…a6f5backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591b…8410backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdeb…50dfbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…bc89backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 9.2%14 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.