TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,160 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c22,541$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.968,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330f…d4b1backed Yes5c10,870$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500160%0 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0715…85e6backed Yes4c4,285$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150224.5%1 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes3c3,532$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.91,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes4c3,351$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.031,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes3c2,763$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.971,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes5c2,222$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9935110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc8a…112bbacked Yes5c2,200$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.28117.3%14 W · 67 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes5c2,190$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes5c2,183$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038924.4%95 W · 294 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x092f…2ff1backed Yes5c2,179$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012015.8%19 W · 101 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b77…b4e1backed Yes5c2,106$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007424.3%18 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09a3…2349backed Yes5c1,563$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf614…beb0backed Yes6c1,459$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.91911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-84.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c6d…cc54backed Yes4c1,318$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da4…62a0backed Yes2c1,135$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes5c1,098$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017115.2%26 W · 145 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf7…e64cbacked Yes5c1,047$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.143710.8%4 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-76.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes4c1,009$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.371,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x053f…5cf6backed Yes5c960.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes4c744.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Yes4c743.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4817414.4%25 W · 149 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes3c658.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3640515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Yes5c652.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309926.3%26 W · 73 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes4c625$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252888%23 W · 265 L-1.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Yes3c500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1422122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523124.7%57 W · 174 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3d…5941backed Yes4c493.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.25100%0 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65a2…2868backed Yes5c478.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaaed…bc74backed Yes5c455.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.793517.1%6 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c22…cafbbacked Yes5c434.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c3f…7c06backed Yes5c434.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0367…e7fbbacked Yes5c434.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207319.2%14 W · 59 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes5c425.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6db…cdd2backed Yes3c400$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81458.3%12 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa226…5b97backed Yes3c400$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.95215.4%8 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes4c382.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7922824.6%56 W · 172 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaa9…ebb8backed Yes5c354.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3378.1%3 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-13.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes3c345.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.371,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes5c336.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.521029%61 W · 149 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f8…7fd1backed Yes5c304.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes4c284.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.881,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcea2…0f20backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes5c250$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510314.6%15 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…77f0backed Yes4c244.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119315.1%14 W · 79 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e5…3c00backed Yes5c213.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c21…a6f5backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015228.3%43 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x591b…8410backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109140.7%37 W · 54 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdeb…50dfbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10263.8%1 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick14cpaid-72.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab5…bc89backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101529.2%14 W · 138 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.