TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,352

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,104 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes4c20,638$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes4c6,611$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Yes5c5,000$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235545.6%3 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes3c3,621$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.531,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes4c2,928$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.121,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes5c2,064$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021226.9%57 W · 155 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b77…b4e1backed Yes5c2,054$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007424.3%18 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x557a…3d56backed Yes5c2,050$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100756.7%5 W · 70 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc60f…5b36backed Yes5c1,644$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09a3…2349backed Yes5c1,572$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes5c1,117$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.37135.2%25 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes4c1,066$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.781,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes5c1,055$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes4c999.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3539932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bcb…8626backed Yes5c824.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401035.8%6 W · 97 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Yes5c690$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7425510.6%27 W · 228 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes5c687.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337131%22 W · 49 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes5c500$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.552522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes5c469.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.222824.6%56 W · 172 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes5c416.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes4c413.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2192038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes5c413.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c3f…7c06backed Yes5c408.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31f4…bb20backed Yes5c408.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes3c400$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131124.5%5 W · 107 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bfd…29a4backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207424.3%18 W · 56 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes5c352.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1724028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes5c326.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1544524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa226…5b97backed Yes4c320$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25215.4%8 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes5c312.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0233510.1%34 W · 301 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa9…ebb8backed Yes5c312.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15378.1%3 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-13.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes5c307.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530011.3%34 W · 266 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes5c230$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0410314.6%15 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32af…b42fbacked Yes5c229.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+97.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab5…bc89backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101529.2%14 W · 138 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.