NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94aaf0b3554859e86552c6932627481cdc1561ee36f861e9487bd4953efdeec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Hurricanes, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Golden Knights | 71c | 14,741$10,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275.01 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hurricanes | 0c | 7,423$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Hurricanes | 29c | 6,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Hurricanes | 29c | 4,153$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.77 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Hurricanes | 29c | 3,547$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.63 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed Hurricanes | 29c | 2,782$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Golden Knights | 70c | 2,219$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.62 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Golden Knights | 71c | 1,946$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.72 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights | 70c | 1,541$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.29 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Golden Knights | 71c | 1,498$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.29 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Hurricanes | 30c | 1,379$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.79 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +56%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Hurricanes | 29c | 1,322$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.45 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Hurricanes | 30c | 1,250$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Golden Knights | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…33bebacked Hurricanes | 30c | 996.24$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Hurricanes | 29c | 869.61$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.19 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hurricanes | 5c | 816.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Golden Knights | 71c | 784.62$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.97 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Golden Knights | 71c | 705$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…f5ecbacked Hurricanes | 29c | 700.55$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…c11dbacked Hurricanes | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12b…5a4cbacked Hurricanes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Hurricanes | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hurricanes | 15c | 319.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Hurricanes | 28c | 305.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Hurricanes | 29c | 303.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Hurricanes | 33c | 298.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.26 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 68c | 262.13$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Golden Knights | 71c | 214.47$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed Hurricanes | 28c | 207.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Hurricanes | 28c | 205.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Golden Knights | 71c | 172.92$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Hurricanes | 14c | 158.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Golden Knights | 72c | 147.22$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…105abacked Golden Knights | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hurricanes | 12c | 132.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…fbfebacked Golden Knights | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Golden Knights | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Hurricanes | 29c | 102.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…a74dbacked Golden Knights | 72c | 101.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…9d57backed Hurricanes | 28c | 100.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Golden Knights | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…692ebacked Hurricanes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed Hurricanes | 29c | 99.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…0693backed Hurricanes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed Golden Knights | 72c | 81.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Golden Knights | 72c | 79.16$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Hurricanes | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Golden Knights | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden Knights | 71c | 65.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…fe5dbacked Hurricanes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Hurricanes | 29c | 59.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Hurricanes | 21c | 57.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Hurricanes | 29c | 56.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3339…3492backed Golden Knights | 71c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Hurricanes | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden Knights | 71c | 41.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Hurricanes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Golden Knights | 71c | 23.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…cdb2backed Golden Knights | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Golden Knights | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ede…8b89backed Golden Knights | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Golden Knights | 71c | 15.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Golden Knights | 72c | 14.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1562…b34ebacked Golden Knights | 72c | 14.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Hurricanes vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.