TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,165 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa398…6c83backed Over77c12,162$9,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,836.651681.3%13 W · 3 L+5.7wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+79.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under70c8,979$6,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,262.6210650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under25c7,333$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.1510146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over38c5,999$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,739.3741842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Under67c4,763$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,189.522564%16 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under24c4,347$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.187737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under24c4,340$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.618641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over75c4,201$3,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.811952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over53c4,063$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.189355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over35c2,653$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.732951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over11c1,959$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.0235551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under43c1,828$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.2622250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over57c1,736$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.961,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under51c1,643$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.8792049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb5…7ce9backed Under26c1,410$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over75c1,164$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.9517761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over65c1,126$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.761478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+41.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc546…5816backed Under25c1,114$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.43714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under44c1,043$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.489948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Over56c1,032$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+86.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over75c994$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.51,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over74c901.5$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.3914551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de9…ee25backed Under25c843.4$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.853831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over61c728.19$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.17771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over45c718.84$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.641,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over61c655.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5612357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under41c567.65$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6925345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over77c515.58$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.764761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under52c473.6$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.91154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over76c470.79$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.993873.7%28 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over74c453.26$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7310166.3%67 W · 34 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under24c442.86$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.293174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over64c422.71$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.894351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Under67c419.3$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.831145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Under49c383.11$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.393429.4%10 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under40c370.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.364136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under40c352.49$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.455141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over59c337$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.627659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over45c331.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.162462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Under57c313.37$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5545069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over35c306.49$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6399638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over73c269.73$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.912454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under33c268.33$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.269145.1%41 W · 50 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc282…0c5fbacked Under45c265.95$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.652828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.162470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under64c256$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.665240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Under56c255.82$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.267258.3%42 W · 30 L+9.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over41c255.77$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.061747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.223868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under48c220.02$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.914347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over52c201.84$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.921861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7797…668bbacked Over76c201.05$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over54c200.5$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.097265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick66cpaid+43.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f2b…9128backed Over61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488150.6%41 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over77c195.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.918469%58 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under26c178.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4624837.9%94 W · 154 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over74c177.05$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.119157.1%52 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under43c176.3$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.812429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-45.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over76c172.94$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5128749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Over53c160.33$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+225.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x097c…630abacked Under25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over51c158$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4212733.1%42 W · 85 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4818046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95fa…bf35backed Under25c141.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.28944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under41c139.28$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9251343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under24c134.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3476450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over70c131$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4241050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.879562.1%59 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under47c123.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7734547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed Over16c115.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+105.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over44c112.11$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.815261.5%32 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over51c106.54$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9119844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under24c106.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.276950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3839…e2eebacked Under47c105.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501675%12 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+44.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over47c104.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.713161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x226a…258abacked Under48c103.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd53b…fc94backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435650%28 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Over76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1026…e794backed Over53c99.36$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+227.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under17c91.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3261848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e0e…704abacked Over58c90.89$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+145.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over36c81.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.242161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0167…8525backed Under59c81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over66c75.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.723083.3%25 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over74c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c74.76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.673,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under62c74.56$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.014139%16 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Under64c73.87$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.281250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x851a…0415backed Over35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under40c68.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.241866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+58.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5bca…2c1dbacked Over77c65.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.133100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed Under25c61.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6576…3300backed Under25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under24c59.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.172770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a2c…2262backed Over76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under24c50.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.173831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x165d…a4d5backed Over75c48.41$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+198.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc597…c695backed Under25c48.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.