MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e9fa8137d3093421621a8d8d57bff9b3d5ae1c9bad7caf38a5d8f9825e1e35b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $339,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $423,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 82,343$30,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,392.88 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 82,250$49,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,824.15 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.98 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 13,181$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,404.36 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 7,152$5,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.66 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 6,881$4,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.09 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 5,676$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.44 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 5,562$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.42 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 5,523$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 5,000$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.33 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 4,966$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.98 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 4,641$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.73 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 3,500$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 247 | 39.3%97 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 3,484$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.64 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 3,049$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.67 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Washington Nationals | 0c | 2,802$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 2,766$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.14 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 2,258$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.75 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 1,950$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.5 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 1,667$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.72 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Washington Nationals | 7c | 1,603$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 381 | 33.6%128 W · 253 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Washington Nationals | 3c | 1,364$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 10c | 1,341$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.9 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Washington Nationals | 2c | 1,257$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,207$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.81 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,204$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.8 | 155 | 42.6%66 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 1,145$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.95 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 1,038$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.11 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 904.83$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…96ddbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 809.35$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.46 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d77…571bbacked Washington Nationals | 9c | 755.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Washington Nationals | 9c | 750$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 744$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.92 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Washington Nationals | 18c | 669.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 74c | 669.68$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.12 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 640$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 639.35$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.7 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Washington Nationals | 14c | 612.76$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Nationals | 11c | 500.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Washington Nationals | 26c | 500$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 499.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 240 | 59.2%142 W · 98 L | +18.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 396.67$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.67 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 392.32$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.62 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 382.16$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.36 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Washington Nationals | 12c | 326.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 325.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 299.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 292.82$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 283.52$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.24 | 581 | 60.4%351 W · 230 L | +30.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 280$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 268.94$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 9c | 262.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 259.44$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.54 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…0845backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 258.33$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 243.41$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.6 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 240$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 240$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 229.85$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 211.11$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 204.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 190$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 182.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 212 | 33.5%71 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…4245backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 175.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 174.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Washington Nationals | 13c | 173.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -11.8wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Washington Nationals | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 166$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 158$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 146.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 145.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 277 | 57%158 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 246 | 50.4%124 W · 122 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…afa2backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 139.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 346 | 44.8%155 W · 191 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde43…0bd7backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 132.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 130.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 128.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 128.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 126$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…0b08backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…6aa1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 115.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 112.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 110.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329f…3f5bbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 252 | 44%111 W · 141 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 104.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 102.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 671 | 43.2%290 W · 381 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 97.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-5.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.