MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x495c08101bd8485dab1987b7e262429cf3363159c79abc1e90b2142b55a55536
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.56 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 4,861$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.85 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 57c | 4,421$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.82 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 4,306$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.76 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 48c | 3,453$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.49 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 2,687$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.05 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 45c | 2,480$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.84 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 56c | 2,401$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.6 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 40c | 2,073$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.2 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 41c | 1,958$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.62 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 50c | 1,696$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.61 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Over | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 45c | 1,131$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.45 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 43c | 1,071$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.53 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 44c | 1,024$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.44 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 46c | 1,017$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.23 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 45c | 935.87$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.99 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 54c | 831.34$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.05 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 54c | 806.58$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.04 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 71c | 704.55$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.3 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 53c | 580.66$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.75 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Over | 48c | 546.1$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.08 | 251 | 53%133 W · 118 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Over | 48c | 536.25$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.4 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Over | 48c | 520$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 46c | 513$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.02 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 42c | 493.77$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.3 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 47c | 466.6$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.3 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 448.25$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.27 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 55c | 436$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 55c | 420.7$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.87 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 42c | 414$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.85 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 48c | 369.12$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.63 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 41c | 363.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 55c | 325.01$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.76 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 323.43$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Over | 61c | 262.46$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over | 42c | 243.67$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 46c | 231.15$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.82 | 1,022 | 50.6%517 W · 505 L | +54.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Over | 42c | 200.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 43c | 197.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.48 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 44c | 193.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 63c | 187$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 33c | 158$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.86 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 48c | 132.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Over | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 41c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Over | 40c | 103.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 56c | 101.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Over | 35c | 97.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 70c | 95.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 45c | 94.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 55c | 92.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 41c | 91.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Over | 42c | 88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 64c | 85.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 67c | 79.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 48c | 77.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 570 | 58.4%333 W · 237 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 46c | 72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 60c | 68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…a164backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Over | 42c | 65.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Over | 51c | 59.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -13.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Over | 42c | 54.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x337a…b913backed Over | 40c | 46.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a86…4eebbacked Over | 56c | 44.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 44c | 43.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Over | 58c | 42.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 43c | 41.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Over | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…140dbacked Over | 35c | 40.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 39.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Over | 63c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -11.8wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Over | 41c | 37.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…04efbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…267fbacked Over | 49c | 35.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Over | 50c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Under | 49c | 34.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 57c | 33.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 453 | 58.7%266 W · 187 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 57c | 32.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Over | 42c | 31.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 57c | 30.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…6872backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Over | 56c | 26.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…cfbfbacked Over | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington NationalsPittsburgh Pirates won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-5.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.