MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8368efeb188668bc6d0a45342ea0bdb78e609e632be67ff3c6fb4696ad0e313
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $674,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $686,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $674,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 145,598$79,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,648.38 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 133,333$72,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,999.79 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 50,653$37,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,089.45 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 42,766$20,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,620.62 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 20,663$9,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,364.5 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 18,331$10,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,212.69 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 18,306$8,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,885.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 18,000$9,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,720 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 17,179$6,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,101.25 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.96 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 14,140$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…c92bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 12,212$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 9,023$5,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,740.86 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 8,168$4,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,353.1 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 8,065$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092.91 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 6,508$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.77 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 5,576$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.08 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 5,483$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.06 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 4,836$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.8 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 4,531$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.43 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 4,294$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.89 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 4,010$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.33 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 3,312$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.1 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 3,232$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.82 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 3,048$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.63 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 2,923$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.42 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…698dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 2,728$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,590$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.36 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 2,422$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 2,408$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.45 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 5c | 2,368$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.45 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 2,264$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.17 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 2,160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 2,142$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.68 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 2,094$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.51 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 1,937$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.1 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 1,869$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.4 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,693$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.76 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 1,691$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.96 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 1,515$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.68 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,487$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 1,481$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.34 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,414$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.7 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,371$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.05 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,336$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.26 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…0619backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,286$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,225$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.23 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,147$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.19 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,077$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.21 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,048$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.9 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 975$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.75 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 932$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.28 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 923.86$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.23 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 890.44$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.47 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 846.04$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.19 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…55a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 825$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 817.35$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.07 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 809.82$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.48 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 802.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 772.82$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.32 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 717.39$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.39 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 703$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.65 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 688.97$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.94 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 600$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 581$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.39 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 566.02$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.65 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 561.83$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.66 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 502.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 500.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.54 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…87e6backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 481.08$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 480.68$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.82 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…a5ddbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 477.43$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14e…3315backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 472.77$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.57 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 469.4$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.46 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 461.96$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.73 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 439.2$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.56 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…6d1abacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 418.96$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381a…f63dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 391.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 384.47$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.01 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 364$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 351.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.41 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 349.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…053abacked Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 328.35$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.31 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcd…c367backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 284.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 14.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 15.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 17.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.